Individual Economists

Bulgarian PM Stuns EU With Full-Throated Backing Of Trump-Putin Diesel Deal

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Bulgarian PM Stuns EU With Full-Throated Backing Of Trump-Putin Diesel Deal

Bulgaria has just broken ranks amid widespread European criticism over the Trump-Putin diesel deal announced last week, with the NATO country's Prime Minister Rumen Radev stunning Brussels in fresh remarks.

"You know what is our problem right now in Europe? High fuel prices," Radev said in English as he attended a two-day summit of leaders.

via The Associated Press

Reuters described of the top level meeting in Brussels, "the European Union began a packed summit on Thursday that quickly underscored wrangles over how ​to tame soaring energy prices, design a budget to keep the bloc competitive and curb surging exports from China that are blamed for job losses."

Prime Minister Radev told the summit "Any step in reducing fuel prices and to guarantee our competitiveness, we appreciate" - in a clear reference to the US-Russia diesel agreement.

And even as most continue to vocally support Ukrainian President Zelensky in his ongoing standoff with Trump and defiance of US wishes, Radev criticized Ukraine's strikes against Russia's oil refineries, again siding with the White House.

"I don't support strikes on any refineries," Radev said, at a moment Trump is strongly warning that Kiev better halt this tactic.

"I don't support strikes on any energy power plants, like Russian attacks on energy power plants in Ukraine, because this hits us back," he added. "The prices in Europe are (skyrocketing)."

Fellow European leaders voiced wide disagreement, with EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas echoing Zelensky's words that the diesel deal was a "gift" to Vladimir Putin.

"The question is: what has he (Putin) given in return? What we see is that he's actually increasing the attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure. The ceasefire that was also announced is not really working on the Russian side," Kallas said.

The recently installed Radev, whose Progressive Bulgaria party won the April election, has been busy rolling back the NATO 'eastern flank' country's prior policy on Ukraine, including related to arms shipments.

The new government has made clear it has a new peace agenda, and its position is that nothing will be resolved by just pouring more heavy arms into the conflict, now in its fifth year. It was given a new mandate.

This was also notable amid the AfD's continued rise in Germany...

He has repeatedly criticized EU overreach on green-energy mandates, sanctions policies and what he describes as moral posturing in a "world without rules."

While analysts have lately noted he is unlikely to ultimately jeopardize the flow of EU funds that sustain Bulgaria’s economy, the result installs a distinctly Russia-friendly government at the heart of the EU's southeastern flank - a shift that has been drawing close scrutiny in Brussels, Washington and Kiev.

Tyler Durden Thu, 10/15/2026 - 08:20

Trump Admin Offers Migrant Children $3,000 To Voluntarily Leave US

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Trump Admin Offers Migrant Children $3,000 To Voluntarily Leave US

Authored by AG News Staff via American Greatness,

The Trump administration is offering unaccompanied migrant children $3,000 to voluntarily return to their home countries, expanding an immigration enforcement initiative aimed at protecting minors and reducing illegal immigration.

A Department of Homeland Security official confirmed Tuesday that migrant children ages 14 and older who are in federal custody and have no gang affiliations are eligible for the financial incentive.

The payment represents a $500 increase from the $2,500 offered last year under President Donald Trump's immigration crackdown.

DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin is overseeing the initiative, which the department says is intended to protect vulnerable migrant children from exploitation and help reunite them with their families.

A DHS spokesperson told ABC News that Mullin is "leading efforts to rescue these children and stop their exploitation."

The administration has repeatedly raised concerns about the treatment of unaccompanied minors who entered the United States during former President Joe Biden's administration, particularly those placed with sponsors who may have criminal backgrounds.

"Many of the children who came across the border unaccompanied were allowed to be placed with sponsors who were smugglers and sex traffickers," a DHS spokesperson said.

"Unlike the previous administration, President Trump and DHS take the responsibility to protect children seriously and will continue to work with federal, state, and local law enforcement to reunite children with their families," the spokesperson added.

According to a legal services provider cited by ABC News, DHS began offering the increased incentive earlier this month.

The administration has also assembled a team of federal attorneys to represent migrant children in immigration proceedings after ending agreements with several immigration advocacy organizations that previously provided legal assistance.

The administration maintains that its immigration policies prioritize enforcement, child safety and family reunification as it works to address problems stemming from the previous administration's handling of unaccompanied migrant children.

Tyler Durden Thu, 10/15/2026 - 08:05

Europe Is Falling: Riots Spread From France And Belgium To Albania

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Europe Is Falling: Riots Spread From France And Belgium To Albania

Social unrest in France, Belgium, and now Albania raises the risk of riot contagion across Europe. Young rioters' involvement gives far-left groups opportunities to exploit grievances and channel them into broader anti-government mobilization.

Local outlets are reporting that "thousands of students," a common phrase MSM corporate media outlets have used to describe the rioters, took to the streets of Albania's capital for a second day of anti-government riots on Wednesday. They set fire to part of the education ministry and attacked other government buildings, yet this suggests the unrest has little to do with classroom sizes and more to do with a coordinated far-left anti-government movement sweeping across Europe.

Riot police deployed tear gas and water cannons to disperse unruly crowds. Kids dressed in all black, usually a sign of far-left involvement, also targeted the prime minister's office, the finance and interior ministries, and nearby businesses.

"The people are very angry at the system. They need to change everything. With this corruption all around, the crime and everything else is happening. And the people now are angry. They need to change the system," demonstrator Enida Bimi told Reuters.

We must ask ourselves, in a rational world: Is the solution to a failing education system to burn it down? Well, in the far-left mindset, certaintly. 

Deputy Prime Minister Albana Koçiu called for restraint yesterday, saying Albania "does not need to burn to change." Education Minister Mirela Kumbaro said the right to protest did not justify violence against public buildings and property.

Albania's state-run news agency said sixteen people were arrested "in connection with violent acts" during riots earlier this week.

The social unrest is less about education and demonstrates how Europe has a terrible disease of far-left extremism that has infected the youth. High-level State Department officials and their European counterparts discussed this concern last summer.

Europe is embarrassing itself on the world stage yet again. It's not just that the unrest is getting out of hand and spreading; its entire progressive utopia (welfare state) is cracking and now breaking as the end game nears. This warns all Americans that welfare states like France are headed for a fiscal crisis.

Read: "I Come From Your Future": A Frenchman's Warning To All Americans Voting Democrat

Tyler Durden Thu, 10/15/2026 - 07:45

Defiant Zelenskyy Resumes Russian Refinery Drone Strikes

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Defiant Zelenskyy Resumes Russian Refinery Drone Strikes

A defiant President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told the Financial Times on Thursday morning that Ukrainian forces will resume attacks on Russian refineries. The move certainly seems more political than anything else. Such attacks have been described as one of the drivers behind the global refining crisis, which has collided with Strait of Hormuz disruptions.

"The block [on attacking refineries] is out. We're done," Zelenskyy told the FT. He said Kiev had suspended energy strikes for three days at the Trump administration's request.

Even before that, the Trump administration had requested many times that Kiev stop bombing Russian refineries, but Ukraine remained mostly defiant and ramped up those attacks leading up to the US midterm elections. One can only wonder whether the escalation was politically motivated, worsening the diesel crisis and translating into consumer pain at US pumps.

Zelenskyy's new narrative is that the resumption of drone attacks on Russian refineries is a response to what he described as a "dangerous" cutoff of US intelligence sharing and the degradation of Starlink service.

Trump has denied cutting off intelligence sharing. Elon Musk said the US government controls Starshield's speed and usage limits, the military satellite network built on Starlink technology. Zelenskyy's office said Thursday that it had lifted the speed restrictions.

A growing rift is apparent between Zelenskyy and the Trump administration, as the Ukrainian president went on a media roadshow this week to push the narrative that he feels "betrayed" by Trump. Yet this should be seen as theatrics, a performative stunt by the former comedian who knows how to put on a good act before the US midterms. 

Last week, Trump said it was "time to get a new leader" after Zelenskyy ignored pleas to stop strikes on Russian refineries, one of the reasons why US diesel prices recently topped a national average of $6.50 a gallon.

Musk has openly agreed, saying on X, "I agree, time for Ukraine to get a new leader."

The breakdown in relations comes ahead of the Northern Hemisphere winter. The International Energy Agency warned yesterday that the "gasoil market balance will remain tight well into 2027."

Diesel prices in the US are back at their highs despite Trump's diesel deal with Moscow to add more barrels to the global market.

And now, the West heads into winter with a refined-products shock... 

Tyler Durden Thu, 10/15/2026 - 07:20

Teens Want More Monster Energy As Celsius Loses Its Fizz

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Teens Want More Monster Energy As Celsius Loses Its Fizz

Piper Sandler's latest Teen Survey of nearly 9,000 respondents offers an early read on energy drink preferences among younger consumers.

Analyst Michael Lavery highlighted Monster's growing appeal, noting that the brand is gaining share and leading rivals in consumers' intentions to increase consumption.

"Teens report highest consumption increase intent for Monster," Lavery wrote in the note published earlier today.

He continued:

We asked teens whether they intend to drink more or less of their favorite energy drink brands in the next six months; 20% plan to drink more while 49% plan to drink the same amount and 32% plan to drink less (though reduction intentions often do not actually occur).

Teens plan to drink more Monster (23%), than Alani Nu (20%), Red Bull (18%), and Celsius (16%).

The survey of roughly 8,935 teens showed Monster retaining second place among their preferred energy drink brands, behind Red Bull. Its share of mentions rose about .6 percentage points from a year earlier, reaching about 28%, broadly in line with its 27% share of measured US retail sales.

The results stand in sharp contrast with Celsius, which dropped from fourth to sixth and lost about 5.55 percentage points of preference share. Alani Nu remained third but also lost momentum among young consumers. 

Monster consumption is heavily skewed toward males: about 75% of teens who selected it as their favorite energy drink were boys. Alani Nu's following was mostly female, highlighting how differently the brands compete for younger consumers.

Other fun facts from the survey:

Energy drinks top soda and coffee for source of energy among young consumers.

Maybe the youngsters need some Hooked on Phonics ...

Monster's growing advantage over Celsius is showing up in stock performance this year.

Celsius is down 41% year-to-date, while Monster is up solidly at around 14.3%.

Tyler Durden Thu, 10/15/2026 - 06:55

Why Diesel Prices Are So Much Higher Than Gasoline

Zero Hedge -

Why Diesel Prices Are So Much Higher Than Gasoline

Authored by Robert Rapier via OilPrice.com,

  • Diesel has generally cost more than gasoline since 2004 due to higher production costs, taxes, and global demand.

  • Global refinery disruptions, export restrictions, and low inventories have widened the diesel price premium in 2026.

  • Strong US crude production and refinery output cannot fully offset global diesel supply shortages.

There was a time when diesel fuel was usually cheaper than gasoline in the United States. That relationship began to change about 20 years ago, and since then diesel has generally traded at a premium. Today, that premium is not just persistent but unusually large, which raises an obvious question: how did we get from gasoline typically costing more than diesel to diesel costing substantially more than gasoline?

The answer has two parts.

The first is structural and goes back to the mid-2000s, when changes in fuel specifications, taxes, refining economics, and global demand fundamentally altered the relationship between gasoline and diesel prices.

The second is more immediate. In 2026, refinery disruptions, geopolitical conflicts, low inventories, and reduced exports from major suppliers have pushed the global diesel market into an unusually tight position. Understanding the difference between those long-term and short-term forces explains both why diesel usually costs more and why the gap is so large right now.

Diesel Was Once The Cheaper Fuel

Before the mid-2000s, diesel was often cheaper than regular gasoline in the United States. There were exceptions, particularly during cold winters when heating-oil demand strengthened, but the longer-term pattern generally favored diesel. That began to change around 2004, and according to the Energy Information Administration, on-highway diesel prices have been higher than regular gasoline prices almost continuously since September of that year.

That shift is clearly visible in the historical data I examined in my 2023 article on the subject. In the decade before 2005, gasoline generally traded at a small premium to diesel. After that, the relationship reversed, and diesel became the more expensive fuel in most years. The timing is important because it coincided with a major change in the way U.S. refiners had to produce highway diesel.

Ultra-Low-Sulfur Diesel Changed The Economics

Beginning in the mid-2000s, U.S. refiners had to dramatically reduce the sulfur content of highway diesel. That was an important environmental improvement because sulfur emissions contribute to air pollution and acid rain, but it also made diesel more expensive to produce. Refineries invested billions of dollars in new hydrotreating and sulfur-removal equipment, and those investments increased capital and operating costs and made compliant diesel more expensive to produce and distribute.

My earlier article focused heavily on this transition because the timing lines up closely with the point at which diesel's historical discount disappeared. EIA now describes the persistent diesel premium as the result of several factors working together, including strong global demand for diesel and other distillates, the higher cost of producing low-sulfur diesel, and federal taxes that are six cents per gallon higher on diesel than on gasoline.

None of those factors explains every short-term price movement, but together they created a structural premium that had not existed to the same degree before 2004. Once diesel became more expensive to produce and more tightly linked to global distillate markets, the old relationship with gasoline never really returned.

Diesel Became A Global Commodity

Another important change has been the globalization of the diesel market. Gasoline is also traded internationally, but diesel and other middle distillates occupy an especially important role in the global economy because they power trucking, agriculture, construction, mining, shipping, industrial equipment, and heating systems. Strong demand in Europe, China, India, and the United States has kept pressure on global distillate balances for years.

That means U.S. diesel prices are increasingly influenced by events far beyond U.S. borders. Even when domestic production is strong, refiners can export diesel into higher-priced international markets, tying domestic prices more closely to global supply and demand. This is one reason it is misleading to look only at U.S. crude oil production and assume that abundant domestic oil should automatically translate into cheap diesel.

The United States can produce plenty of crude while still facing tight supplies of refined products. Crude oil has to be processed in the right refineries, into the right products, and then moved through the right transportation system. Those constraints matter just as much as the amount of oil coming out of the ground.

2022 Showed How Quickly The Premium Can Explode

The most dramatic recent example came in 2022, when Russia's invasion of Ukraine disrupted global energy markets. Diesel was hit particularly hard. Russia was a major supplier of crude oil, refined products, and feedstocks to Europe and other markets, so sanctions and trade restrictions forced a rapid reshuffling of global flows. Gasoline prices rose sharply as well, but diesel supplies tightened even more, pushing the diesel premium to record levels.

In my earlier article, I noted that the gasoline-diesel spread reached a record in 2022. At the time, the disruption from Russia explained why a structural premium suddenly became an extreme one. The market eventually adjusted as trade routes shifted, refinery operations stabilized, and inventories recovered, but that normalization did not last.

Why The Gap Is So Large Again In 2026

The current situation resembles 2022 in one important respect: global diesel supply has again been disrupted more severely than gasoline supply. EIA recently reported that global distillate supplies are tight because of reduced refining activity in Russia, China, and the Middle East. At the same time, U.S. refiners have been running near maximum utilization, with domestic distillate production averaging about 5.1 million barrels per day through August, the highest level since 2019.

That point is worth emphasizing because it shows that the current problem is not simply a collapse in U.S. refinery output. American refiners are producing large volumes of diesel, but global demand for those barrels has increased at the same time that supplies elsewhere have fallen. As exports increased, U.S. inventories declined, and by mid-September distillate inventories were about 13% below the five-year seasonal average even though summer is normally a period when inventories build ahead of winter.

Since then, the global situation has become even tighter. Russia has restricted diesel exports as refinery infrastructure has been damaged, China has curtailed fuel exports to protect domestic supplies, and Middle Eastern refining and shipping have been disrupted by the conflict involving Iran. Tanker costs and insurance rates have also risen, making it more expensive to move refined products around the world.

The result is a global scramble for middle distillates. Both gasoline and diesel are affected by higher crude prices, but diesel is being squeezed more severely because the product itself is in shorter supply relative to demand. That is why the diesel-gasoline spread has widened so dramatically.

The Price Gap Is Now Extraordinary

As of October 5, the national average price of on-highway diesel was $6.199 per gallon, compared with $4.354 for regular gasoline - a spread of about $1.85 per gallon. Diesel reached a nominal record of $6.29 per gallon in September, according to EIA, and remained above $6 nationally in early October.

That gap is not primarily the result of a sudden increase in diesel taxes or some new change in fuel specifications. Those structural factors help explain why diesel usually costs more than gasoline, but they do not explain why the premium is so large today. The current premium reflects a very tight global distillate market layered on top of the long-term changes that already made diesel the more expensive fuel.

That distinction is important because it separates the underlying reason diesel normally carries a premium from the temporary forces that can cause that premium to explode.

Refining Margins Are A Consequence, Not A Cause

Refining margins have risen sharply, and major refiners are benefiting from the tight market. But those high margins are a consequence of constrained diesel supply relative to demand rather than the original cause of the shortage.

When refinery capacity is disrupted, exports are curtailed, and inventories fall, the value of the remaining barrels rises. Refiners that can continue producing diesel benefit from that scarcity, but the scarcity comes first. This distinction is important because high margins are sometimes cited as evidence that refiners decided to raise prices, when in reality the margin expansion is largely the market's response to a shortage of refined product.

Diesel Is A Different Market Than Gasoline

The broader lesson is that gasoline and diesel may come from the same barrel of crude oil, but they are not interchangeable products. They serve different markets, have different seasonal demand patterns, require different processing, and face different global supply pressures. A refinery cannot simply turn every barrel of crude into whichever product happens to be most expensive that day because refinery configuration, crude quality, product specifications, and physical operating limits all constrain what can be produced.

That is why abundant crude oil does not guarantee cheap diesel. The United States can produce record amounts of oil, run refineries near capacity, and still face expensive diesel if global product markets remain tight.

Twenty years ago, gasoline was often the more expensive fuel. Then diesel moved to a structural premium, and today that premium has widened dramatically because the global market for diesel and other middle distillates is again under severe strain. Until those supply constraints ease, diesel is likely to remain much more expensive than gasoline.

Tyler Durden Thu, 10/15/2026 - 06:30

"De-Risk As Fast As Possible": EU Eyes Vietnam For Critical Materials To Cut Alarming China Dependence

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"De-Risk As Fast As Possible": EU Eyes Vietnam For Critical Materials To Cut Alarming China Dependence

Brussels appears increasingly aligned with the Trump administration's view that securing reliable, conflict-free supplies of critical materials is important for the incoming rearmament supercycle. Continued reliance on China exposes Western defense manufacturers to export restrictions that have already disrupted supply chains and could delay deliveries. 

Reuters cites internal EU documents dated June 2026 that identified Vietnam as a potential source of critical materials outside China.

"Considering Europe's need to rearm and de-risk as fast as possible, the EU cannot afford ignoring Vietnam as a potential supplier of critical raw materials considering its abundant reserves in rare earth and tungsten in particular," the document stated which was prepared by the EU delegation in Hanoi.

The push comes as Chinese export restrictions collide with the West's rearmament supercycle next year, exposing alarming vulnerabilities in the supply chains needed to manufacture missiles, ammunition, armored vehicles, one-way attack drones, interceptors, sensors, and other military equipment.

The West is quickly learning that bigger and bigger defense budgets alone cannot solve the critical material shortage and there is high urgency in securing alternative supply chains.

Vietnam holds substantial deposits of tungsten, rare earths, and other critical minerals, but its exports to Europe have largely been limited to tungsten and antimony, both of which are used to manufacture weapons.

The document noted that China's restrictions on critical material exports last year disrupted European supply chains, strengthening the case for exploring alternative sources.

It called for stronger relations with Vietnam to "add an alternative to China," especially after Beijing's export restrictions last year "disrupted European supply chains."

"The European Commission is currently assessing the potential for concrete cooperation with Vietnam in the critical raw materials sector," a spokesperson for the EU executive arm told the outlet.

Adrien Rabier, Bernstein's equity analyst covering European aerospace and defense, outlined to clients last month that Europe's rearmament supercycle will begin next year and extend through the end of the decade. 

Our reporting has pointed out that the next phase of the critical materials trade will favor miners already producing and delivering these materials to Western markets. 

This comes as resource nationalism intensifies across critical minerals, metals, energy, adding to uncertainty as the world heads into a potentially volatile winter.

The VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF (REMX), which tracks global companies that produce, refine, and recycle critical minerals, peaked in May and lost nearly half its value by early fall.

REMX's decline appears to be a retracement of the rally in 2025 and early 2026 that followed China's export restrictions. Once the space bottoms, traders will likely focus on miners that can reliably deliver conflict-free materials to the West. These materials are critical not only to the rearmament cycle but also to AI data centers, reindustrialization, electrification, and the broader modern economy.

Tyler Durden Thu, 10/15/2026 - 05:45

'Newspeak': Oxford University Tells Staff To Avoid Everyday English Phrases

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'Newspeak': Oxford University Tells Staff To Avoid Everyday English Phrases

Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity.news,

Oxford University has advised its staff to avoid common English idioms such as "learn the ropes" and "find your feet," on the grounds that they may confuse international students or that they perpetuate negative stereotypes.

The guidance appears in the university's official style guide, which also recommends replacing gendered terms and softer language around socioeconomic status, prompting criticism from free speech groups that Oxford is prioritising sensitivity over cultural immersion.

The style guide tells writers to favour "plain English" and cautions: "Be mindful of idioms that may not be familiar to international readers or that may use stereotypes. Use common words, short sentences and familiar constructions."

Specific alternatives are offered: "learn the ropes" becomes "learn how to do that," "find your feet" becomes "getting used to their new environment," and "blindspots" becomes "gaps in knowledge."

Gendered words face similar treatment. "Spokesman," "chairwoman," and "mankind" are to be swapped for "spokesperson," "chair," and "humankind."

Staff are also advised to use "they/them" rather than alternating "he" and "she," to describe "deprived" students as "lower income" or as having experienced "socioeconomic disadvantage," and to prefer "gay" over "homosexual" (except in legal or medical contexts) and "older people" over "the elderly."

Around a third of Oxford's students are international, including a fifth of undergraduates. The university has become increasingly dependent on higher fees from overseas students as domestic funding pressures grow.

An Oxford spokesman said: "Like many large organisations, including newspapers, Oxford University has a style guide to help staff write clearly and consistently. As a global university with staff and students from around the world, we write for a wide international audience. The guide provides practical advice for written University communications, from punctuation to choosing language that readers will readily understand. Its writing guidance is advisory and supports staff in exercising their own judgement about the language they use and the audience they are writing for."

Lord Young of the Free Speech Union rejected the premise. "Surely, one of the reasons international students come to Oxford is so that they can immerse themselves in our culture and master colloquial English," he said. "What's next? Is Oxford going to insist all lectures have to be in Esperanto?"

The episode fits a wider pattern of language policing across British higher education and politics. Cambridge University has previously argued that free speech should be restricted in certain circumstances.

Other institutions have declared the term "ethnic minority" itself offensive.

UK students have been ordered to undertake white privilege training.

The government has urged schools to report "anti-Muslim hostility."

The Green Party has called for the words "mother" and "father" to be erased in favour of more inclusive alternatives.

These measures arrive as universities face financial strain and recruit more heavily from overseas. Critics argue the result is a slow dilution of the very cultural and linguistic distinctiveness that draws international students in the first place.

Learning everyday English, including its idioms, is part of mastering the language rather than an obstacle to be removed. Treating common British phrases as potentially confusing or stereotypical places the burden of adaptation on the host culture instead of on those who choose to study within it.

The style guide is presented as advisory. In practice, such documents shape institutional expectations and signal which forms of expression are considered acceptable. Free speech advocates note that once everyday language is flagged as risky, the scope of self-censorship expands.

Oxford's response emphasises clarity for a global audience. Lord Young's reply highlights the opposite priority: that international students benefit from encountering the language and culture as it is used.

British universities remain among the world's leading institutions. Their reputation rests on rigorous standards and open inquiry, not on rewriting ordinary English and instituting Orwellian Newspeak to minimise every possible misunderstanding.

Treating common idioms as problems to be solved by avoidance rather than explanation reverses the traditional purpose of a world-class university. Students who arrive at Oxford should leave more fluent in the language and more familiar with the culture, not less exposed to either.

Tyler Durden Thu, 10/15/2026 - 05:00

NGO Says "Climate Change" To Blame For Increase In Child Marriages

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NGO Says "Climate Change" To Blame For Increase In Child Marriages

The climate change industry (and yes, it is an industry) generates approximately $18 billion globally for NGOs, and a big part of that cash flow is the relatively new agenda of "Climate Justice".  This is the melding of the global warming fraud and the social justice fraud into one very big and very lucrative mega-fraud.  

Climate Justice is simply another strategy for attacking western economies and free market enterprise, using the accusation that the west is "creating environmental crisis" which developing nations then suffer for.  In other words, it is repeating the false claim that the wealth of the west is built on the suffering of the third world.  If it weren't for the US, Europe and other developed nations, the third world would be rich and prosperous and peaceful and a multicultural Utopia would flourish.   

The end game of this narrative, of course, would be the eventual dismantling of western economies in the name redistributing the wealth, stopping global warming and "saving the world."  It's all a fantasy, but we'll get to that in a moment...

One NGO with extensive ties to the climate agenda is called Plan International, an organization focused on children's rights, specifically the equality of girls and gender-based violence.  Sure sounds like a righteous cause, but the veneer is deceiving.  

According to a recent story by French news outlet Le Parisien, Plan International has released their shocking annual State of the World’s Girls 2026 report, and they assert that climate change is contributing to a sharp increase in child marriages in third world countries. 

The report combines analysis of health and climate data across more than 50 countries over three decades with a survey of 5,000 girls and young women aged 15–24 in Bangladesh, Kenya, Peru, Senegal, and Zimbabwe, plus interviews and focus groups.  At least 36% of respondents observed more child marriages or early unions in their communities after climate-related shocks; about 11% said they had personally experienced one. 

Girls as young as 10 years old can be married off in these culture, even when national laws forbid the practice. Poverty supposedly compels these marriages, because families need to reduce the number of mouths to feed.  Also, the younger the bride, the more in "Bride Price" (payment) the family might receive in some cultures.

The survey attempts to link "climate change to destructive weather events, the weather events to a rise in poverty, and poverty to rising child marriages.  It's quite a stretch, but it gets worse.  The NGO also attempts to link climate change to sexual assault and increased violence against women.  

And of course, the "Climate Justice" position implies that the women in these countries are facing such violence and exploitation because of the actions of first world economies.

In their COP policy briefs (COP26, COP27, COP28 and others), Plan International states that “early industrialization, colonization, and wealth inequality means that developed countries contribute to global emissions significantly more than others.  They call on countries with “the greatest historical and current responsibility” to raise emissions-reduction ambition and increase climate finance (more money for the NGOs).  

Plan International presents itself as a humanitarian org focused on protecting girls and women, but they have deep ties to the climate change industry through the UN and other NGOs.  For example, they receive funding from the Rockefeller Foundation, one of the original globalist institutions behind the creation of the climate change narrative in the 1970s. 

As we have shown many times int eh past, there is zero concrete evidence supporting global warming theory.  In fact, the data shows no relationship between human industry and changes in temperatures and weather.  For starters, groups like Plan International use climate data from the past few decades.  The vast majority of climate science uses temp records from the 1880s onward.  None of them acknowledge climate data from longer timelines.

The Earth's weather history is vast, and temperatures have been much hotter than they are today.  Modern temps are some of the coolest in the past 400 million years.  There was no human related carbon emissions back then; the temps fluctuated dramatically anyway.

Furthermore, when matching the carbon content record to the temperature record over this time period, there is no match whatsoever.  In other words, carbon emissions have nothing to do with rising or falling temperatures.  

By extension, there is no indication that current weather patterns are affected by human industry either.  In Bangladesh, for example, flooding is the primary weather related disaster, and there is no evidence of a significant change in the frequency of flooding in the region from 50 to 100 years ago.  The weather changes according to the long cycles of the Earth.  The economic successes of the west have no bearing at all on the suffering of the third world. 

Maybe don't build your village in a desert or a flood plain. 

 

As for the child marriage problem, these cultures have been engaging in this behavior for thousands of years.  If anything, the west has contributed to a steep decline in these kinds of barbaric practices.  What was the scapegoat for third world nations prior to the fabrication of the climate change crisis?  

The lesson here is to beware of NGOs and the causes they claim to champion.  They have a tendency to hide their true intentions behind otherwise noble pursuits.  

Tyler Durden Thu, 10/15/2026 - 04:15

"Russian Bots", Burning Data-Centers, & Partitioning The Internet

Zero Hedge -

"Russian Bots", Burning Data-Centers, & Partitioning The Internet

Authored by Kit Knightly via OffGuardian,

The Ukrainian military used their surfeit of drones to destroy Yandex data centres in Russia, and as a result, "hostile" Russian bot activity dropped to almost zero.

That's the story.

There's no evidence it's true, of course, but since when did that make any difference?

What were these alleged bots supposedly talking about?

Well, that depends who you are.

If you're a Covid-era pro-vaccine nut job, they were talking about Fauci and ivermectin and vaccines harms.

If you're a Zionist, they were supporting about "free Palestine".

If you're a Democrat, they were spouting MAGA talking points.

If you're a leftist in general, they were promoting the AfD in Germany, Reform in the UK or just the "far right".

It turns out the bots are everyone who disagrees with you and nobody who agrees with you.

Isn't that nice?

No matter who you are, there's a source-less graph out there with a line going down which shows you were right about everything.

It's not like you can just make up a graph.

Zelensky summed the situation up thus:

"It suddenly became a little easier to breathe on many social platforms. There was less hate, less division and fewer provocations,"

We've been given taste of a Russia-less and/or bot-less and/or disinformation-less internet, isn't it lovely?

To be clear, again, there is no evidence at all this is true. They just say things.

This comes hot on the heels of Andy Burnham just saying - sorry, "confirming" - that Russia tried to influence the Brexit referendum back in 2016 (a sure indication he plans to reverse that decision, but that's another story for another time).

The point is we're all being influenced by big bad Vlad and his big bad bots.

Maybe we should do something about it, right?

You know what would help filter out hostile state-driven AI bot activity?

Digital ID. Just sayin'.

Or, perhaps we should partition or the internet...

Nobody is saying that - yet - but this is kind of story is laying the groundwork. Just wait.

As I wrote about AI and data centre fear last month:

None of this will really be about avoiding any apocalypse.

It will be about compartmentalisation. Cutting lines of communication.

Running small business or personal websites in general will become more expensive as the "data centre tax" is added to hosting providers.

Much like the "sugar tax" on fizzy drinks and snacks in the UK, this tax will notionally be paid by the hosting providers, but will be passed onto the customers via increased prices.

Major corporations will be able to easily afford these increases, but smaller independent sites will feel the pinch.

It will be cheaper to pay corporate resellers to cohost, but then you'll have to sign up to agreements about not publishing "misinformation" and, again, provide your proof of humanity.

If you run a website your data centre usage tax will be 0.04 per local visitor, but 0.10 per international visitor - since serving data further is more compute heavy.

You'll be able to get reductions in hosting costs if you use a "local only" server, accessible only to those resident in your home country/region/bloc etc.

Automatic translation, we'll be told, is very heavy on AI usage. So it will be increasingly cheaper to only publish in your native language too.

It won't matter if any of this is true or not, they'll just say it, as they do.

On social media, the more followers you have the more data you're using, so after a certain point you will have to either pay to maintain your followers, or pay per post to make sure your followers can see it.

Of course these limitations won't apply to legacy outlets like the BBC, CNN or their ilk of course. They will be exempt, because they are part of the "essential information distribution network".

And all the time, the fear of "rogue AI" will be there, to be picked up as convenient. A digital pandemic that, like Covid, can be started and stopped on a dime by the digital version of "testing protocols".

Kill switches and "digital firebreaks", allegedly installed to quarantine "rogue" AI agents, will enable swift isolation of any anti-establishment opinions or information that breaks through to an audience of any size.

An independent news YouTube channel getting a lot of views? Oh no, it's been reported to be AI and has been suspended pending investigation!

An alternate media website is getting a lot of views? Oh no, the server it's stored on has been compromised by AI and needs to be temporarily isolated!

Again, obviously not one word of this needs to be true. They will just say it. Like they just say everything now.

And the real kicker is it won't matter if global internet traffic does decrease or data centre use really declines. They probably won't even check. The real numbers don't matter.

- Rogue AI "Regulation" - A Potential Worst Case Scenario

"Russian bots" is perfect for this, mixing "AI bad" with "Russia bad" with "disinformation bad" in a neat little agenda cocktail.

Like Mary Poppins' medicine, everyone gets the flavour they want.

It's exactly the kind of ridiculous story that could be used to justify this process down the line.

We publish a variety of perspectives. Nothing written here is to be construed as representing the views of ZeroHedge.

Tyler Durden Thu, 10/15/2026 - 03:30

Iran Hormuz Attack Spree Starts Choking Oil Flows (Again), UBS Warns

Zero Hedge -

Iran Hormuz Attack Spree Starts Choking Oil Flows (Again), UBS Warns

A surge in Iranian drone attacks on commercial ships appears to be weighing on Middle Eastern energy exports through the Strait of Hormuz, with 24 attacks reported so far this month. The latest reports indicate that two Emirati container ships were struck and sank in the narrow waterway within the past 24 hours.

UBS energy expert Henri Patricot told clients on Wednseday morning that crude and petroleum-product flows exiting the Gulf of Oman dropped to 9.1 million barrels a day over the past couple of days. The weekly average slipped to 13.5 million, compared with an early-October peak of 17 million. 

Patricot provided more color on deteriorating shipping conditions in the Strait of Hormuz:

More attacks around Hormuz and in Saudi Arabia

Attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and in the Gulf of Oman continue to be reported at the highest intensity since the start of the conflict (Figure 24).

Iran is reportedly using a new strategy to target ships, including using spotters in small boats. The attacks appear to be having a clearer negative impact on traffic via Hormuz in recent days. Separately, attacks have also continued in Saudi Arabia, with reports that Aramco's HQ which was targeted overnight.

Oil flows falling further; LNG holding up at much lower level

The latest data point to a more material drop in exports from the Middle East. UBS Evidence Lab data (> Access Dataset) indicate that crude and product flows out of the Gulf of Oman dropped to 9.1Mb/d in the past couple of days and have averaged 13.5Mb/d in the past week vs. a peak of 17Mb/d in early October (Figure 3). 

Our estimate of combined crude and product exports through Hormuz and bypass routes is down to 9.5Mb/d over the past week, well below the recent high of 16Mb/d and September average of 14Mb/d (Figure 2).

Flows are still likely to be revised higher but there now appears to be a clear trend of declining flows since early October now. We are adding a new chart showing LNG flows out of the Gulf of Oman (Figure 4). 

There has been an improvement in flows since mid-September and they are holding up for now, but only at ~25% of pre-conflict levels, vs. oil close close to 50% in the past week and 75% at recent peak.

Crude loadings rebound

On the positive side, Gulf crude loadings excluding Iran bounced back to >12Mb/d over the past couple of days. As loadings in previous days were revised higher too, October loadings are back up to 8.7Mb/d on average, in line the September average (Figure 12). 

There is still no Iranian crude loading (Figure 13). 

Outside Hormuz, preliminary data show no loadings from Yanbu in the past couple of days, taking the average to 1.6Mb/d so far in October, below the September average of 2.7Mb/d (Figure 16). Including Fujairah, bypass crude loadings averaged 2.1Mb/d over the past couple of days and 3.3Mb/d in October, vs. 5.4Mb/d in September. Gulf product loadings have ticked up just above 1Mb/d, still well below normal levels of >3Mb/d (Figure 17).

Commenting on market impacts, Dimitrios Laloudakis, a macro quantitative strategist at UBS, wrote earlier:

Brent Crude December 2028 Makes New Highs While front-end crude has been offered, longer-dated futures continue to reprice higher. The 21-day rolling correlation between front-month and 12th contract falls markedly (level last seen during peak uncertainty when front-month ripped higher). Markets now face the other side of the coin with front-contract remaining tepid, but oil expectations grinding higher for longer-dated futures.

Despite the Trump-Russia diesel deal, US industrial fuel prices continue to inch toward highs.

Earlier today, the International Energy Agency warned that the global diesel squeeze will likely persist well into the first half of 2027.

Tyler Durden Thu, 10/15/2026 - 02:45

NATO's De Facto Expansion To The Caspian Sea Is Inevitable

Zero Hedge -

NATO's De Facto Expansion To The Caspian Sea Is Inevitable

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,

Russia still has time to propose Ukrainian-like security guarantees for averting another special operation...

Politico recently published a piece about how "France and Turkey block NATO's drive to deepen ties with Caucasus countries", not because they're opposed to it in principle, but due to Turkiye blocking the renewal of Armenia's partnership plan after France declined to approve Azerbaijan's. France and Azerbaijan have long been at odds over Paris' support of Armenia, particularly in the context of the Karabakh Conflict, and recently over Azerbaijan's detention of French citizens (who were later released).

Per Politico, "The delay has forced NATO to temporarily extend Armenia and Azerbaijan's outdated partnerships despite negotiations on the new plans being near-finalized, three of the diplomats said. The new plans would allow their participation in joint military exercises, boost military-to-military training and intensify cultural cooperation all the way down to setting up local English-language lessons, they added." Joint NATO drills might be held on the Caspian coast with Azerbaijan upon its plan's approval.

None of this is surprising to astute observers. August 2025's "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" (TRIPP) has the unstated dual purpose of a NATO military logistics corridor to the Caspian Sea and thenceforth to Central Asia. TRIPP is therefore the means through which NATO aims to contain Russia along the southern flank of the new "cordon sanitaire" that Trump 2.0 assembled around it. Azerbaijan poses a Ukrainian-like challenge to Russia by functioning as TRIPP's irreplaceable transit state.

If Azerbaijan cooperated with Russia to ensure that TRIPP wouldn't be exploited for military purposes, then there wouldn't be any problem, but Baku has no such interests and has instead thrown its weight behind the West. In point of fact, President Ilham Aliyev announced last November that his country's armed forces have completed the conformation to NATO standards, and their naval drones could threaten Russia's Caspian Fleet in crisis scenarios just like Ukraine's currently threaten its Black Sea one.

Azerbaijan is also on pace to further integrate its economy with the EU's. Not only is it helping the bloc replace Russian energy, but it's also going to facilitate their trade with Central Asia, to which end European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced last month that "we will aim to crowd in up to €12 billion in public and private investment" in regional logistics along what's known as the "Middle Corridor". All of this tightens the containment noose around Russia's southern flank.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov suggested last month that his people are sometimes optimistic to the point of implied naivete and also tend not to proactively address latent crises. With the deepest of respect for those of them who are responsible for formulating its policies, that arguably appears to be the case regarding the threat that TRIPP poses to Russia. That's not to imply that Russia should wage a preventive war against Azerbaijan, just that it should urgently wise up to the threats coming from it.

Looking forward, just like NATO's de facto expansion to the Caspian Sea is inevitable, so too is it inevitable that Russia's threat perception towards Azerbaijan will intensify. The sooner, the better, since Russia still has time to propose Ukrainian-like security guarantees for averting another special operation. In this context, they could concern Azerbaijan agreeing to Russian inspections of TRIPP's cargo and not allowing any joint NATO drills on its territory, but Aliyev might not assent unless Putin presses him a bit.

Tyler Durden Thu, 10/15/2026 - 02:00

Germany Puts Ukrainian Ex-Officer On Trial For Nord Stream "War Crime" As Defense Says Pipelines Were Fair Game

Zero Hedge -

Germany Puts Ukrainian Ex-Officer On Trial For Nord Stream "War Crime" As Defense Says Pipelines Were Fair Game

Four years after the largest act of infrastructure sabotage in postwar Europe, Germany finally has a defendant. Just one.

Serhii Kuznietsov, a 50-year-old former Ukrainian army officer, went on trial Wednesday at the Hanseatic Higher Regional Court in Hamburg, accused of leading the seven-person team that blew up three of the four Nord Stream lines on September 26, 2022. Prosecutors charge him as a co-perpetrator of a war crime, namely an attack on civilian objects, along with causing an explosion, destroying structures and disrupting public utilities. Around 30 hearing days are scheduled, running into February.

Serhii Kuznietsov (centre) denies the charges. Pic: Reuters

The prosecution's version is about as cinematic as it gets: a crew of four professional divers, an explosives expert and a skipper set out from Rostock on the chartered yacht Andromeda, rented through intermediaries with forged identity papers, and planted devices packed with HMX and RDX at roughly 80 meters near the Danish island of Bornholm. Kuznietsov, a former SBU officer, allegedly ran the show from the deck. German investigators also say he incriminated himself by chatting about the operation with friends and relatives while in Italian custody, which in hindsight may not have been the best use of his phone privileges.

Most notable, however, is who Berlin says was behind it. The federal prosecutor's indictment states plainly that Kuznietsov and fellow servicemen were acting on behalf of Ukrainian state authorities, with the aim of permanently halting gas flows and cutting off Russia's revenue to fund the war. In other words, Germany is prosecuting an ally's officer for an operation it says the ally's state ordered, against German energy infrastructure, while continuing to bankroll that same ally. Kyiv, for its part, maintains it had nothing to do with it; Ukraine's prosecutor general said in July it had found "no evidence" of state involvement. Awkwardly, Ukraine's own human rights ombudsman had already confirmed to an Italian court that Kuznietsov was serving in the armed forces at the time.

On day one, the defense declined to let Kuznietsov speak and moved to dismiss all charges. His lawyers argued that war crimes prosecutions would be better aimed at Russian forces (citing Bucha and the deportation of Ukrainian children), that his fingerprints were never found on the yacht, and that no witness placed him aboard. His Ukrainian counsel go further, arguing the pipelines were a legitimate military target regardless of who hit them. The court has already rejected his claim to combatant immunity, ruling that it does not cover covert operations in which soldiers cannot be distinguished from civilians. The BBC reports the defense plans to submit written testimony from two of his former commanders, one of them reportedly the alleged mastermind of the entire operation, which should make for an interesting exhibit.

Then there is the matter of who wants a seat at the table. Gazprom-owned Nord Stream 2 AG has applied to join the case as a co-plaintiff, and Kuznietsov's Ukrainian lawyers warn that a conviction could hand Moscow a legal basis to claim compensation, potentially from the roughly $300 billion in frozen Russian assets that Europe has been trying to earmark for Kyiv. A guilty verdict, then, could put Brussels in the unusual position of having established a Russian damages claim against money it already promised to Ukraine.

The diver who keeps getting away

Kuznietsov is the only person currently on trial because Germany's second suspect keeps slipping through European courts. Volodymyr Zhuravliov, the alleged diver, was arrested in Poland in September 2025, only for a Warsaw court to refuse extradition a month later, ruling the act had been committed in the context of Russia's war. Prime Minister Donald Tusk was blunter, saying handing him over would go against Poland's interests and that those who built Nord Stream 2 "should be ashamed and remain silent."

Germany, whose energy costs have exploded - no pun intended - after the pipeline sabotage, and refuses to be ashamed or silent now that its entire manufacturing sector is imploding as a result, tried again in August when Croatian police picked up Zhuravliov in Pula, where he was reportedly working on, of all things, a Hollywood dramatization of the Nord Stream attack. Berlin upgraded its warrant to include the war crime charge, and on September 18 a Pula court approved extradition. His lawyers are appealing to Croatia's high criminal court and say they will go to international bodies if needed, so his arrival in Hamburg is anything but assured. According to ARD, investigators have identified seven suspects in total, one of whom has since been killed fighting Russia.

The question nobody in Hamburg will ask

The trial also formally enshrines the "six guys on a sailboat" thesis that first surfaced in March 2023 and was fleshed out by the WSJ in August 2024, when the Journal reported that Zelensky initially approved the plan before calling it off at the CIA's request, only for then-commander Valery Zaluzhny to proceed anyway. Zaluzhny, now ambassador in London, called it a provocation. The court is unlikely to spend much time on Seymour Hersh's February 2023 account, which pinned the operation on the US Navy, or on Joe Biden's February 2022 promise that if Russia invaded, "we will bring an end to it."

Meanwhile, the pipelines remain at the bottom of the Baltic, Nord Stream 1 having moved nearly 60 billion cubic meters in 2021, and Germany continues to pay up for LNG. The AfD has campaigned on restarting Russian gas flows, which means the verdict, due sometime next year, will land squarely in German domestic politics. Expect a long, carefully narrow trial in which a court determines whether one man captained a yacht, while the question of who sent the yacht remains politely unexamined.

Tyler Durden Thu, 10/15/2026 - 00:06

Does China Have Enough Water For Its Thirsty AI Data Centers?

Zero Hedge -

Does China Have Enough Water For Its Thirsty AI Data Centers?

Authored by James Gorrie via The Epoch Times,

According to China's Ministry of Water Resources, China has nearly one-fifth of the world's population but only about 6 percent of global freshwater resources.

That presents planners in Beijing with a challenging problem: How to support 20 percent of humanity, more than 18 percent of global economic output, and an expanding digital economy, with a disproportionately small water resource?

Things become even more complicated because China's most economically developed regions are not necessarily where water is most abundant.

Now, Beijing wants to build substantially more artificial intelligence (AI) computing capacity. That raises another fundamental question: Can China expand its AI infrastructure without worsening its existing water crisis?

China Is Betting Big on AI Infrastructure

Over the next five years, China is preparing to expand its nationwide AI data center infrastructure by roughly 2 trillion yuan, or $295 billion. The plan would create interconnected computing hubs and rely heavily on domestic technology suppliers.

Rystad Energy estimates China's installed data-center capacity reached about 32 gigawatts at the end of 2025 and could rise above 60 gigawatts by 2030. Data-center electricity consumption could reach 289 terawatt-hours by 2030, more than twice 2025 levels. AI and high-performance computing are expected to drive much of that growth.

But electricity is only half the infrastructure equation. Since AI servers generate enormous amounts of heat, data centers must rely on cooling technologies that require substantial amounts of water.

What's more, China's existing data centers are already using a lot of it.

China's Data Centers Already Have a Water Problem

A 2025 study published in Applied Energy provides perhaps the clearest warning.

Researchers estimated that China's data centers consumed approximately 15.7 billion cubic meters of water in 2022, equivalent to about 2.7 percent of China's total water consumption. Even more significant, the researchers found that 72 percent of China's computing capacity was located in regions experiencing severe water scarcity.

The Chinese regime has been trying to move computing capacity away from the crowded eastern regions toward western provinces where electricity, particularly renewable electricity, is more readily available.

The strategy makes sense from an energy perspective, but not so much from a water supply perspective. The same study found that China's "Eastern Data and Western Computing" strategy could increase water-footprint pressures in water-scarce western regions such as Gansu and Ningxia.

The imbalance between China's water supply and rising cooling needs is obvious. Beijing is solving one bottleneck while creating another.

Moving Data West Doesn't Move the Water

This is the central problem with China's strategy. Western provinces have vast solar and wind resources and enormous areas available for data-center construction. But parts of the west are also among China's driest regions.

That creates a fundamental trade-off because China cannot simply allocate more water to AI without hurting other key areas. Water used to cool an AI data center competes, directly or indirectly, with agricultural, industrial, municipal, and ecological needs.

Agriculture accounted for about 62 percent of China's total water use in 2025, compared with 16 percent for industry and 15.8 percent for domestic consumption. Total national water use reached approximately 594.45 billion cubic meters. Agriculture's dominance matters because food security is a strategic priority for Beijing.

On the flip side, China is improving efficiency. Water consumption per 10,000 yuan of GDP fell 4.5 percent in 2025, while water consumption per 10,000 yuan of industrial value-added declined 7.2 percent.

Those gains are significant, but efficiency cannot eliminate scarcity.

If AI computing grows rapidly enough, a data center can become more water-efficient even as the overall sector consumes more water.

That's the danger.

China Is Trying to Make AI Greener

Beijing has set a goal to source 80 percent of its data-center electricity from green energy by 2030, up from 11 percent in 2023. But analysts say AI's highly variable computing loads make it difficult to integrate data centers smoothly with renewable power systems.

The regime is also encouraging higher efficiency in data centers by improving power and water usage effectiveness. That technology can make a major difference.

The Applied Energy study found that simultaneous improvements in power efficiency, water efficiency, and electricity-grid decarbonization could reduce China's national data-center water footprint by 51.5 percent to 58.3 percent by 2050, compared with a business-as-usual scenario.

The bad news is that these are scenarios, not guarantees.

The AI Boom Could Outrun the Efficiency Gains

China's data-center industry is expanding as AI demand grows. The same technological advances that make AI more useful also increase demand for computing power.

Rystad Energy expects Chinese data-center electricity consumption to grow at roughly 19 percent annually between 2025 and 2030. But those efficiency improvements may not offset the water consequences of rapidly increasing computational capacity.

The result could be a familiar economic pattern of more efficient machines on the one hand, but more of those machines on the other.

This is where China's water dilemma becomes more serious. It can reduce the amount of water required per unit of computing while still increasing total water consumption.

What Happens If Water Becomes the Bottleneck?

If water becomes scarce around major AI hubs, China could face pressure to restrict where new data centers are built. That could increase infrastructure costs and force companies to move computing capacity toward regions with better water availability.

It could also increase competition among agriculture, cities, and manufacturing and technology companies. That matters because China's economy is already heavily dependent on water-intensive industries and food production.

China can build reservoirs, pipelines, water-transfer systems, recycling facilities, and increasingly efficient industrial infrastructure. It can force industries to meet state-directed efficiency targets. But it can't manufacture freshwater at the scale necessary to meet the underlying demands of AI, industry, agriculture, and public use.

Water is ultimately constrained by geography and climate and could become one of the least visible but most important constraints on China's AI expansion through the 2030s.

Views expressed in this article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times or ZeroHedge.

Tyler Durden Wed, 10/14/2026 - 23:25

"It's A Pity...": Zelensky Feels 'Betrayed' By Trump & Elon Musk

Zero Hedge -

"It's A Pity...": Zelensky Feels 'Betrayed' By Trump & Elon Musk

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky says he feels betrayed by President Trump in the wake of the US deal to buy Russian fuel from Moscow, which was announced last week.

Zelensky went on a newly aired episode of Piers Morgan's show, and he was asked point blank by the British show host if he had been "betrayed" by the Trump administration, to which Zelensky answered, "Really, Yes." Russian media was quick to seize on the increasingly open schism between Trump and Zelensky...

"It’s a pity that we are losing a strong partner," the Ukrainian leader told Morgan on Wednesday.

"This is our country, our body, our home, our children… That's why it’s painful when Trump chooses one side," Zelensky at one point also stated.

"If you’re in the middle, you have to stay in the middle. Not on the wrong side," said Zelensky. "This is not the right side of history." Here, Zelensky seemed to suggest Trump is actually more on the Kremlin side of things at this point.

The interview also came amid reports that the US is throttling intelligence-sharing with Kiev. The White House has thus far neither confirmed nor denied the allegations.

But Zelensky has himself for the past two night of Russian airstrikes made a point to publicize that Western partners have not provided the typical early warning notices of inbound missiles that were available in prior such attacks.

There's been another apparently 'betrayal' (in Zelensky's assessment) by the White House of late: reports say that SpaceX has imposed a movement-speed restriction on certain Starlink terminals used in Ukraine.

This has deeply impacted Ukraine's military, which is greatly reliant on Starlink for rapid battlefield communications and functions. Zelensky used the Piers Morgan appears to plead that it be 'switched on'.

"People will die, of course, if attacks will continue and if Starlink will not work… it’s not helpful," he continued.

The Ukrainian leader expressed home the limitation was merely a "mistake," suggesting it could "maybe a huge technical problem" at SpaceX. 

Overall, Zelensky's message was that Ukraine is 'losing' American support and that he feels betrayed not only be Trump, but by Elon Musk too.

Musk has directly chimed in on the controversy, clarifying "Starshield systems are owned and controlled by the US government" - and so ultimately it's the US government, not SpaceX, behind whatever cut happened that impacted Ukraine.

*  *  *

Full episode: President Zelensky 'BETRAYED' By Trump & Elon Musk

Tyler Durden Wed, 10/14/2026 - 23:00

People Who Bought MAGA Hats!? Jack Smith's Arctic Frost Hoovered Up Data On At Least 639,000 Republican Voters, Donors

Zero Hedge -

People Who Bought MAGA Hats!? Jack Smith's Arctic Frost Hoovered Up Data On At Least 639,000 Republican Voters, Donors

Former special counsel Jack Smith's office and the Biden Justice Department obtained spreadsheets on "over 639,000 individuals, at minimum" - Republican donors, supporters and voters - according to a new memo from Senate Judiciary Chairman Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, first reported by Fox News Digital on Wednesday. Grassley's account rests on whistleblower disclosures to his committee.

Of those, more than 148,000 rows are identified in the spreadsheets as donors, who generally gave small amounts. The data includes names, dates of birth, home addresses, emails, whether the person is a registered Republican, occupation and employer, credit card information, donor analysis data and donation amounts. Grassley said samples on the list included retirees, pool technicians, drivers and loggers.

The Daily Caller reports that the trove also covers the shipping addresses of people who bought MAGA hats, and that it reaches back to 2005. The Fox account of the memo does not mention hat buyers, so that detail rests on the Daily Caller's reading.

"This update shows that Jack Smith and the Biden Justice Department collected incredibly invasive donor data - and voter data - beyond what could conceivably be necessary" for the special counsel's mandate, Grassley said. He added that it "corroborates that Smith and his partisan team aimed to map out the entire Republican Party apparatus," and again called on Senate Judiciary Democrats to join his oversight work.

Smith told the committee on Sept. 29 that his team "acquired financial information." Pressed by Grassley for a yes or no on whether his office obtained donor data, Smith answered "Yes," according to Fox's account, and said he could not "recite to you every subpoena we issued." He said the subpoenas served a criminal investigation and that he had "a duty to collect facts." Smith's newly launched law firm did not immediately respond to Fox's request for comment, and no response from Smith or the Justice Department to the new memo had appeared in the coverage reviewed.

The memo follows an earlier Grassley release, also drawn from whistleblower records. On the day of the hearing, the committee's Republicans said Smith's team acquired at least 4,782 checks from donors to President Trump and Trump-aligned Republican entities, written between September 2019 and August 2023 in all 50 states, Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico. The checks show home addresses, bank account and routing numbers and signatures, and were routed to former FBI Special Agent Walter Giardina, the release says. Grassley said some gave as little as $1, that 42 of the checks came from Iowans, and that "the Justice Department and FBI will forever possess thousands of people's addresses."

At the hearing, Smith defended secretly obtaining Republican lawmakers' phone records. He could not say whether his subpoenas sought the lawmakers' physical locations, and could not recall key details about his demands for conservative fundraising information, the Washington Examiner reported.

The donor material fits a pattern Grassley has been releasing for a year. In October 2025 he made public 197 subpoenas sent to 34 individuals and 163 businesses, seeking records tied to at least 430 named Republican individuals and entities, including statistical data and analysis on donors and fundraising. "This was clearly a fishing expedition," he said then. In July, Grassley said records showed Smith's team obtained and reviewed texts involving 44 current and former lawmakers, and House Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan said Congress was weighing a criminal referral over Smith's testimony about those records.

Smith is now fighting on several fronts. As we reported earlier this month, Sen. Marsha Blackburn, R-Tenn., sued him over the seizure of lawmakers' phone records, seeking $1 in damages, and Sen. Bill Hagerty, R-Tenn., filed a bar complaint recommending disbarment. 

Tyler Durden Wed, 10/14/2026 - 22:35

Asia Scrambles For Coal As Energy Crisis Sends Prices To Two-Year High Ahead Of Winter

Zero Hedge -

Asia Scrambles For Coal As Energy Crisis Sends Prices To Two-Year High Ahead Of Winter

As the Northern Hemisphere winter quickly approaches, Asian thermal coal prices have climbed to two-year highs and could be on the cusp of a major breakout as utilities stockpile the dirty fuel amid disruptions to natural gas and crude product markets caused by the war in Ukraine and the Strait of Hormuz disruption.

Newcastle coal futures, an Asian benchmark, are up more than 40% on the year and could surge even higher if the $150-a-ton level is sustained.

Prices on Tuesday closed at their highest levels since August 2024.

The combination of Ukraine decimating Russian refineries with drone attacks and the Strait of Hormuz disruptions to energy flows has sparked a global refining crisis that has encouraged utilities to switch from higher-priced natural gas and heating oil to cheaper alternative fuels such as coal.

Morgan Stanley analysts led by Amy Gower wrote in a note last week that the global refining crisis has made "the long-term outlook for thermal coal demand more resilient." They raised their long-term outlook for Newcastle export prices by 4% to $125 a ton.

According to Bloomberg, China's coal output has fallen more than 3% in the first eight months of the year after a deadly mining accident earlier this year triggered safety inspections and prolonged shutdowns. 

Wood Mackenzie analyst Hangyu Li expects more Chinese mines to get the green light to restart, but any new production would come as a lag.

"We expect more mines to gradually win approval to restart after about four months of suspension, but a quick rebound on production in the near-term is unlikely," Li wrote in the note.

Possible relief from a harsh winter could come from above-normal temperatures forecast across Asia because of a record-breaking El Niño, which would ease heating demand. 

Tyler Durden Wed, 10/14/2026 - 22:10

Congresswoman Warns Incoming Socialists Are "National Security Threat," Wants Their Access To Intel Limited

Zero Hedge -

Congresswoman Warns Incoming Socialists Are "National Security Threat," Wants Their Access To Intel Limited

Rep. Nicole Malliotakis, (R-N.Y.), said two members of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) who appear headed to Congress could pose a national security risk, and she wants House leadership to keep them away from sensitive intelligence.

"These people are extreme, they're radical, they are dangerous, and they really have no business being in the United States House of Representatives," Malliotakis, the only Republican representing New York City in the House, told Fox News Digital. "And it scares me that they're going to have access to intelligence."

The two candidates, Darializa Avila Chevalier and Assemblywoman Claire Valdez, won upset primaries this year over establishment-backed opponents in deep-blue districts. Their races made New York City one of the main battlegrounds in this midterm cycle's fight inside the Democratic Party, and both nominees are all but certain to win in November.

Chevalier defeated Rep. Adriano Espaillat, (D-N.Y.), chairman of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, in his district covering Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx. Valdez won the open seat spanning parts of Brooklyn and Queens that retiring Rep. Nydia Velazquez, (D-N.Y.), currently holds.

Both candidates have called for abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and have described Israel's war in Gaza as a "genocide."

Malliotakis said the pair's support for the DSA platform makes them "un-American."

"I think they want to undermine the country. I mean, anybody whose campaign is based on no jails, no cops, no borders, is a real detriment to the country," she said.

The congresswoman directed her concerns at House Speaker Mike Johnson, (R-La.), and urged him to examine whether the incoming members present a security risk.

"These are the people that are going to have access to intelligence? I think [Speaker Mike Johnson] really needs to look at that and see if they're a national security threat," Malliotakis said.

If Republicans hold the House majority in November, Malliotakis wants Johnson to restrict which committees Chevalier and Valdez can join.

"I do have a lot of concern about these members having access to sensitive information and intelligence that if put in the wrong hands, could be a detriment to our national security," she said.

Malliotakis's warning follows reporting earlier this year on the DSA's contacts with Beijing. Newsweek reported that DSA members "have been cultivating connections with Chinese Communist Party officials and agreeing to take pro-China positions."

The magazine based its reporting on records from inside the organization and described what those records contained.

The minutes of the DSA meetings show participants discussing contacts with officials from China's ruling party in the name of "anti-imperialism," with some members saying the organization should avoid topics that are sensitive for Beijing, such as China's threats to invade Taiwan, its security crackdown in Hong Kong and abuses of the Uyghur Muslim minority. They also discuss visits to China. Chinese officials did not take part in the meetings themselves, but met with members in China and encouraged the DSA to set up exchanges, according to the minutes.

One New York-based political activist addressed an October 2025 meeting of the China Working Group of the DSA's International Committee.

"China wants to interface with the DSA," the activist told the meeting. "If we develop a killer two-week itinerary, hire locals and develop further connections with the CPC [Communist Party of China], then we're golden."

The DSA has called for replacing the U.S. Constitution with a new system and for abolishing prisons, the Supreme Court and the police.

Tyler Durden Wed, 10/14/2026 - 18:50

"F**k You!" Hollywood Civil War Erupts As Ari Emanuel Goes Nuclear On Legendary Kingmaker

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"F**k You!" Hollywood Civil War Erupts As Ari Emanuel Goes Nuclear On Legendary Kingmaker

Hollywood power broker Ari Emanuel unleashed a profanity-laced tirade against fellow entertainment mogul Jeffrey Katzenberg, accusing the Democrat megadonor of double-crossing him in business and putting his own interests ahead of the Democratic Party.

Appearing on Bill Maher's "Club Random" podcast, Emanuel (who Ari from Entourage was modeled after, plus he's the brother of politician Rahm Emanuel) detailed the decades-old grievances behind his bitter feud with the former Disney executive, including a dispute over basketball tickets and an alleged $1 million proposition involving former President Joe Biden.

Emanuel said the animosity began during Endeavor's early days, when the fledgling talent agency secured coveted Los Angeles Lakers basketball tickets that helped establish its standing in Hollywood.

"You know those basketball tickets that we couldn't afford?" Emanuel recalled, comparing their value to a billboard on Sunset Boulevard.

"He went behind my back. We had a contract and he tried to take the tickets and I wasn't going to permit that," Emanuel alleged.

However, the feud eventually spilled into politics.

Emanuel claimed Katzenberg once offered to secure him a meeting with Biden in exchange for $1 million.

"Do you think I need to give you a million dollars so you can tell Joe Biden that I gave you a million dollars to meet with Joe Biden?" a stunned Emanuel recalled responding, pointing to his family ties to the former president through his brother, Rahm Emanuel, who served as chief of staff to President Barack Obama when Biden was vice president.

Emanuel also criticized Katzenberg's role in Biden's failed 2024 reelection effort, claiming he urged the influential Democrat fundraiser to help push the aging president out of the race.

"You say you got his ear, right? You're the man. You're talking to him all the time," Emanuel recalled telling Katzenberg.

"You got to get him out," Emanuel said he demanded, only to be met with silence.

"He gave us Karen Bass. He gave us this. And now he's just moved on," the superagent continued. "Most of the things he does are not about the situation. It's about Jeffrey and the situation."

"That shit I don't like. I do not like it. And he did try to fuck us over twice. Fuck you," he added.

Tyler Durden Wed, 10/14/2026 - 18:00

Judge "Highly Likely" To Grant Apple Injunction As OpenAI Fires Back With Its Own Theft Allegations

Zero Hedge -

Judge "Highly Likely" To Grant Apple Injunction As OpenAI Fires Back With Its Own Theft Allegations

The judge overseeing Apple's trade-secret case against OpenAI said Wednesday he is "highly likely" to grant an injunction barring use of the iPhone maker's proprietary information, a potential setback for the ChatGPT maker's push into consumer hardware, Bloomberg reports.

Ahead of the hearing, however, OpenAI delivered its own accusation: a former employee allegedly took confidential files about an unreleased OpenAI device before returning to Apple, then presented OpenAI's product plans to senior Apple executives. Apple says it found no evidence to substantiate the claims.

The companies that partnered two years ago to bring ChatGPT into Apple's software are now accusing each other of benefiting from the transfer of confidential hardware information. Apparently, the partnership did not include sharing the blueprints.

A Few Bad Apples

Speaking at Wednesday's hearing in San Jose, US District Judge Edward Davila signaled that Apple would likely receive an order preventing use of its proprietary information. But he was less enthusiastic about the company's request for a forensic inspection of all devices and repositories containing Apple trade secrets, describing it as a "huge ask," according to Bloomberg.

Apple attorney John M. Desmarais responded that the company would narrow its inspections to a limited group of former employees now at OpenAI.

"They don't have 400 bad apples, your honor, they have a few bad apples and know who they are," Desmarais said.

The distinction matters: Davila signaled likely preliminary relief, not a final judgment that OpenAI stole Apple's technology. His reported comments also did not amount to an order shutting down OpenAI's hardware program. The practical impact would depend on the terms of an actual injunction.

Apple sued OpenAI, hardware chief Tang Yew Tan and former iPhone engineer Chang Liu in July, alleging a scheme to obtain confidential information covering product design, manufacturing, component technologies, testing methods and its supply chain. Apple says that information is being used to help OpenAI enter the consumer hardware market.

OpenAI denies the allegations and argues that Apple is trying to restrain employees from joining a competitor, portraying "ordinary job interviews" as acts of trade secret misappropriation.

"OpenAI is developing a new family of devices designed for the AI era," the company said in an October court filing quoted by Bloomberg. "OpenAI has no need or desire for Apple's trade secrets."

Its defense also challenges Apple's account of how former employees accessed information. In an earlier public response, OpenAI said current Apple employees had asked Liu to help locate material for their own work. It blamed Apple's account-management practices for leaving former employees with residual access and said Tan had explicitly instructed his team not to use other companies' confidential information.

Those competing explanations are now headed for closer scrutiny. According to Reuters, Davila on Tuesday allowed Apple early access to certain OpenAI digital files and approved expedited depositions of three former Apple employees, including Liu and Tan.

OpenAI Says The Files Were Moving In Both Directions

In its new court filing, OpenAI alleged that an unnamed employee joined from Apple, worked at OpenAI for six months, then returned to Apple after sending more than 100 highly confidential files to personal accounts.

The materials allegedly included images of unreleased hardware, engineering and manufacturing data, supplier information and specifications for cosmetic finishes. Some transfers occurred just after midnight in Singapore on June 2, the employee's final day at OpenAI, the filing said.

OpenAI further alleges that the employee presented its product plans to Apple's senior leadership, including its vice president of operations in Asia. The company says it is concerned that its confidential work could influence Apple's upcoming products.

The filing asks for a case schedule that would allow OpenAI to investigate and, if necessary, pursue counterclaims. It does not itself establish that Apple used the information, nor does it constitute a completed countersuit.

Apple rejected the accusations. The company said it has policies preventing employees from using confidential information belonging to former employers and found no evidence supporting OpenAI's claims, Reuters reported. Apple also accused OpenAI of trying to distract from the evidence underpinning its own lawsuit.

A Hardware Fight With Trillion-Dollar Ambitions

The dispute lands at an awkward time for OpenAI, which is targeting a $1.4 trillion valuation and preparing to go public, according to Bloomberg. Hundreds of Apple employees have moved to OpenAI, turning a software partnership into an increasingly direct contest for hardware talent and expertise.

Bloomberg has reported that OpenAI's first consumer hardware product will be a doughnut-shaped smart speaker priced above $300. People inside the company view it as a distinct, AI-centered device rather than a copy of something Apple plans to release.

But a different-looking product would not, by itself, resolve allegations about the engineering, manufacturing or supplier information used to develop it. Conversely, hiring engineers who know how to build hardware is not the same thing as stealing their former employer's files.

That is the line this case will have to establish. For OpenAI, the immediate risk is an injunction whose scope could complicate its hardware development. For Apple, the new allegations threaten to turn a case about protecting its own secrets into a dispute over how both companies handle everyone else's.

The next generation of AI devices may be revolutionary. The fight over who took what on the way out the door is decidedly old-fashioned.

    OCTOBER ONLY.$10 OFFYOUR NEXT ORDER.$30 min. Ends Oct 31. One per customer.GET MY $10 OFF →Signs you up for ZeroHedge Store emails. Can't be combined. Every order helps support ZeroHedge. Tyler Durden Wed, 10/14/2026 - 17:40

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