Key takeaways:

• The vast majority (85%) of young college graduates work in occupations that have seen strong employment growth in recent years.

• Young college graduates, like college graduates in general, are more likely to work in AI-exposed occupations than the overall workforce—and considerably more likely than young noncollege workers.
• But both young college graduates and young noncollege workers have experienced rising unemployment over the last three years, suggesting AI is not likely to be driving labor market weakness.

In the first blog post of our Class of 2026 series, we showed that the strong labor market for young college graduates of the early 2020s had begun softening in recent years. A growing share of young college graduates are seeking employment, but because their employment rates have not kept up with this job search, their unemployment rate has risen faster than the overall rate. The second blog post in the series discussed the industries where young college graduates worked. We found that recent graduates work in growing industries, but are forced to enter a weakened labor market with less job turnover, deteriorating their ability to break in. Young college graduates work in the tech sector at a similar rate to college graduates, and there is no clear evidence that tech sector employment is significantly decreased despite warnings about the advancement of AI.

In this blog post, we delve deeper into the occupations where young college graduates are likely to work.1 We examine whether it has been relatively more difficult to secure employment in these fields as the labor market has weakened. We also scour the data for signs that exposure to AI-related occupations may disproportionately affect the prospects for young college graduates as they enter the labor market.

Most young college graduates work in occupations with strong growth

Over 60% of young college graduates work in professional and related occupations or management, business, and financial occupations. Figure A displays the share of employment in each occupation or occupation grouping for young college graduates ages 22 to 27, all college graduates, and young workers without a four-year college degree. Occupations in the figure appear in order of the share of young college graduates employed in each, from largest to smallest. Over half (62.8%) of young college graduates work in professional, management, business, and financial occupations. Workers of any age with a college degree are slightly more likely to work in those two occupations (64.5%), though more likely in management occupations than professional occupations. On the other hand, nearly half (48.3%) of young noncollege workers are in service occupations or farming, construction, installation, and production occupations.

Figure A

Figure B shows the change in employment in each occupation between 2019 and 2026 and between 2023 and 2026, arranged in the same order as Figure A for comparison. Since 2019, management, business, and financial occupations and transportation and material moving occupations experienced the most growth, followed by professional and related occupations.

The top four occupations for job growth since 2023 account for 85% of young college graduate employment. The occupations with employment losses over the last three years were more likely to employ young noncollege workers than college graduates. It doesn’t appear that the occupations where young college graduates tend to work have been hit particularly hard in the last couple of years.

Figure B

While there has been job growth among occupations that tend to be filled by young college graduates, some worry about an increase in labor market underutilization, i.e., when workers with a college degree wind up working in jobs that typically don’t require one. Using O*NET data2, the New York Federal Reserve tracks this type of labor market underutilization. While the share of recent college graduates working at a job that doesn’t require a college degree has ticked up slightly over the last three years, it remains lower than it was for workers who graduated in the aftermath of the Great Recession. Even as late as 2017, young college graduates were working at these noncollege jobs at higher rates than they are today.

While college-educated workers are in more AI-exposed occupations, this does not appear to be driving labor market weakness

Much has been written in the last few years about AI exposure and its impact on the labor market. Using data from ADP, a large payroll processing company, Brynjolfsson, Chandar, and Chen find that entry-level workers in AI-exposed occupations—particularly AI uses that automate, not augment their work—have experienced an employment decline larger than that of older workers in the same occupations and all workers in less exposed occupations, explaining some of their stagnant overall employment growth. Atkinson and Yamco also find that declines in AI-exposed occupations are tied to lack of hiring rather than layoffs, hitting harder for young people attempting to enter the labor market. The second blog post in our series noted an across-the-board slowdown in hiring—which hurts the job prospects of all young workers, not only those in the industries most affected by AI.

On the other hand, researchers at the Yale Budget Lab argue that there has only been a slight increase in the shift in the occupation mix of employment, which would be evidence of AI automating jobs. They find that high AI-exposed occupations—determined by the top quintile of AI exposure—have yet to show declining employment, so no “dissimilarity” between young and older college graduates in terms of occupation mix has materialized. Raderman also finds that there isn’t strong evidence that AI is responsible for weaker labor market outcomes for recent college graduates, using evidence from Tillerman on college majors paired with change in unemployment.

Given the variation in assessments, we wanted to take a look at the data ourselves. Gimbel, Kendall, and Kulsakdinun have done an admirable job of summarizing the literature that attempts to classify AI exposure and propose a weighted aggregate measure of AI exposure.3 We employ this measure to investigate whether young college graduates may be more likely to be at risk in AI-exposed occupations than other workers.

In Figure C, we display the AI exposure of occupations weighted by the share of the entire workforce in each occupation. Moving from the left to the right on the figure increases AI intensity. For instance, professional and office & administrative support occupations are more AI exposed (to the right), while production, transportation, and service occupations are less AI exposed (to the left). Overall, the mean AI exposure score is 0.23.4

Figure C

In Figure D, we show the distribution of select demographic groups by occupation and AI exposure. As with earlier analysis, we compare young college graduates with all college graduates and young noncollege workers, in separate panels in the figure.

According to the aggregate measure, college graduates do have higher AI exposure in the labor market than the overall workforce. It is clear there is more mass in the direction of higher exposure (to the right) and their mean exposure is 1.07, higher than that of workers writ large. But the AI exposure of young college graduates isn’t any higher than that of college graduates in general. Mean AI exposure among young college graduates is 1.00.

Figure D

What is striking is that the AI exposure among young college graduates (1.00) is considerably higher than that of young noncollege workers (-0.61). If AI was driving labor market outcomes, we’d expect young college graduates to fare worse in today’s economy, e.g., see larger declines in employment or faster increases in unemployment. But, when we compare unemployment rates as we did in the first blog post of this series, both groups experienced similar increases in unemployment over the last two to three years. Trends in employment rates were also consistent across these groups.

Since the weakening labor market is hitting both young college and noncollege workers alike, it’s hard to argue that AI is uniquely causing job losses for new labor market entrants graduating from college now or in recent years. These findings are consistent with the literature, as there is currently no consensus about the effects of working in AI-exposed occupations on employment thus far.

1. Throughout this brief, we define young college graduates as people between the ages of 22 and 27 with only a four-year college degree. Unlike similar analyses of young workers, we do not exclude young college graduates who are currently enrolled in school, but the results here are robust either way. Unless otherwise noted, data for 2026 represent a 12-month average from April 2025 through March 2026 for the most up to date and reliable estimates, which removes seasonality and increases sample sizes.

2. O*NET or the Occupational Information Network provides the largest up-to-date database of information about workers sorted into detailed occupations. Information provided is about skills, abilities, education, training, and more.

3. We use an updated summary AI exposure PCA score (principal component analysis weighted standardized z-score) provided by the authors, May 13, 2026.

4. The PCA score scale is centered at 0, the unweighted mean across occupations.

The Canadian Press reports PSP Investments selling FirstLight's US portfolio, will keep Canadian operations:

The Public Sector Pension Investment Board has signed a deal to sell the U.S. operations of FirstLight to private equity firm Hull Street Energy.

Financial terms of the agreement announced Tuesday were not immediately available.

FirstLight's U.S. portfolio includes about 1.4 gigawatts of installed capacity across hydroelectric generation, energy storage and renewable assets in Massachusetts, Connecticut and Pennsylvania.

PSP Investments acquired FirstLight in 2016 and will keep the company's Canadian business under the transaction.

The Canadian operations include wind, solar, hydro, and battery storage projects in Quebec and Ontario.

The deal is subject to customary regulatory approvals. 

Freschia Gonzales of Benefits and Pension Monitor also reports pension fund sells 1.4 GW of US clean power assets:

PSP Investments is exiting its US clean power holdings while keeping its Canadian infrastructure intact. 

After nearly a decade of ownership, PSP Investments has agreed to sell the US operations of FirstLight to Hull Street Energy, a private equity firm focused on power infrastructure and energy transition investments.  

The portfolio comprises roughly 1.4 GW of hydroelectric, energy storage, and renewable assets across Massachusetts, Connecticut, and Pennsylvania. 

H2O Power and Hydromega, which make up FirstLight's Canadian platform, will remain under PSP Investments' ownership, alongside a development pipeline of wind, solar, hydro and battery storage projects in Quebec and Ontario.  

That includes the 57.2 MW Fort Frances solar project in Ontario, developed in partnership with the Lac Des Mille Lacs First Nation and recently awarded a 20-year power purchase agreement through Ontario's long-term energy procurement process. 

Andrew Alley, managing director and global head of infrastructure investments at PSP Investments, said the sale reflects the fund's approach to portfolio management while preserving exposure to Canadian projects with long-term, inflation-linked cashflows. 

FirstLight president and CEO Justin Trudell and the US-based team will transition with the assets to Hull Street Energy. 

The transaction remains subject to regulatory approvals. Evercore acted as sole financial advisor to PSP Investments, with Latham & Watkins and Foley Hoag as legal counsel.  

Martina Markosyan of Renewables Now also reports Hull Street to buy FirstLight’s 1.4-GW clean power, storage ops in US:

US power sector-focused private equity firm Hull Street Energy has agreed to buy clean power producer FirstLight’s US-based operations that include nearly 1.4 GW of installed capacity across hydroelectric generation, energy storage and renewable energy plants in three states.

The assets are being sold by the Public Sector Pension Investment Board (PSP Investments), which acquired FirstLight in 2016. Financial terms were not disclosed.

The portfolio to be offloaded covers assets spread across Massachusetts, Connecticut and Pennsylvania. FirstLight’s US-based employees, led by president and CEO Justin Trudell, will transition to Hull Street Energy as part of the deal.

In particular, Hull Street is acquiring the 1,168-MW Northfield Mountain pumped storage hydro facility in Massachusetts, which is described as the largest energy storage facility in New England. The package also includes 14 hydroelectric stations located in Connecticut, Massachusetts and Pennsylvania, plus three operational solar and battery storage facilities in the Northeast.

FirstLight’s Canadian operations -- H2O Power and Hydromega, are not included in the transaction and will remain under PSP Investments’ ownership. The Canadian platform includes the 57.2-MW Fort Frances solar project in Ontario.

The transaction inked with Hull Street is subject to customary regulatory approvals. The parties expect to wrap it up later in 2026.

The deal with PSP Investments comes after Hull Street's agreement last year with Consumers Energy to acquire 13 hydroelectric dams across Michigan. Following completion of the FirstLight and Michigan investments, the private equity firm will become one of the major hydropower investors in the country with a fleet of about 1,200 MW of flexible pumped storage hydro capacity and nearly 400 MW of hydroelectric capacity. 

 Yesterday, PSP Investments announced the sale of FirstLight’s US portfolio to Hull Street Energy: 

Montréal, Canada (May 19, 2026) – The Public Sector Pension Investment Board (PSP Investments) today announced that it has entered into an agreement to sell the U.S. operations of FirstLight to Hull Street Energy, a private equity firm specializing in power infrastructure and energy transition investments (the “Transaction”). The U.S. portfolio comprises approximately 1.4 GW of installed capacity across hydroelectric generation, energy storage and renewable assets in Massachusetts, Connecticut and Pennsylvania.

PSP Investments acquired FirstLight in 2016 and, over the course of its ownership, supported its growth into a leading clean power platform spanning hydroelectric generation, energy storage and renewable assets across the U.S. and Canada. 

The Transaction covers FirstLight’s U.S. operations, including the Allegheny Hydro portfolio. H2O Power and Hydromega, which together comprise FirstLight’s Canadian platform, will remain under PSP Investments’ ownership. FirstLight’s U.S.-based employees, under the leadership of President and CEO Justin Trudell, will transition with the assets under Hull Street Energy’s ownership, while the Canadian platform will continue to operate under its current leadership team in Canada. 

“We value what the team has built at FirstLight and are grateful for the support of PSP Investments during their ownership,” said Justin Trudell, President and CEO of FirstLight. “We are excited to continue leading the U.S. business and to be partnering with Hull Street Energy in this next chapter in the FirstLight story.” 

FirstLight’s Canadian platform will continue to be a best-in-class operator of clean power projects and will continue to develop and execute on its pipeline of wind, solar, hydro, and battery storage projects in Quebec and Ontario. This includes the 57.2 MW Fort Frances solar project in Ontario, which is being developed in partnership with the Lac Des Mille Lacs First Nation and was recently awarded a 20-year PPA through Ontario's most recent long-term energy procurement process. 

"We would like to thank the FirstLight team for their leadership, stewardship and collaboration throughout the development of the platform,” said Andrew Alley, Managing Director and Global Head of Infrastructure Investments at PSP Investments. “This transaction reflects our disciplined approach to portfolio management and return optimization while preserving exposure to projects in Canada with long-term, inflation-linked cashflows. We will continue to leverage our global expertise here at home to seek out new opportunities in the Canadian power sector." 

The Transaction is subject to customary regulatory approvals. Evercore acted as sole financial advisor and Latham & Watkins and Foley Hoag acted as legal counsel to PSP Investments.  

About PSP Investments  

The Public Sector Pension Investment Board (PSP Investments) is one of Canada’s largest pension investors with $299.7 billion of net assets under management as of March 31, 2025. It manages a diversified global portfolio composed of investments in capital markets, private equity, real estate, infrastructure, natural resources, and credit investments. Established in 1999, PSP Investments manages and invests amounts transferred to it by the Government of Canada for the pension plans of the federal public service, the Canadian Forces, the Royal Canadian Mounted Police and the Reserve Force. Headquartered in Ottawa, PSP Investments has its principal business office in Montréal and offices in New York, London and Hong Kong. For more information, visit investpsp.com or follow us on LinkedIn

Related to this, earlier this month, FirstLight executed a power purchase agreement for Fort Frances Solar Project:

• PPA signing marks a key milestone in advancing new solar generation in Ontario, with enough clean electricity to power approximately 8,000 homes 

Oshawa, ON — May 8, 2026 — FirstLight, a leading clean power producer, developer, and energy storage company wholly owned by the Public Sector Pension Investment Board (PSP Investments), today announced the execution of a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with Ontario’s Independent Electricity System Operator for the 57.2 MW Fort Frances Solar Project, in partnership with Lac Des Mille Lacs First Nation.

The agreement follows the Project’s contract award through Ontario’s Long-Term 2 (LT2) procurement process and represents a significant step toward delivering new, reliable and affordable clean electricity to the province. 

“The signing of this Power Purchase Agreement represents a major milestone for the Fort Frances Solar Project and formalizes its role in bringing new solar generation online in Ontario,” said Justin Trudell, President and CEO of FirstLight. “In partnership with Lac Des Mille Lacs First Nation, we’re proud to advance a project that will deliver reliable, cost-effective clean energy to the grid while creating lasting value for the community.”

 “We are proud to continue to leverage our global expertise here, in Canada. The Fort Frances Solar Project is a strong example of what we can achieve as a committed investor in the Canadian power sector,” said Andrew Alley, Managing Director and Global Head of Infrastructure Investments at PSP Investments. "We're thrilled to see FirstLight and Lac Des Mille Lacs First Nation recognized for their contribution to Ontario's electricity supply objectives — these are exactly the success stories that reflect the quality of our teams and the strength of our partnerships.” 

The Fort Frances Solar Project was one of 14 projects awarded contracts by the IESO, together representing more than 1,300 MW of new clean electricity supply for the province as it works to support forecasted increased electricity demand, while maintaining affordability and advancing carbon reduction goals. The Project builds on FirstLight and its predecessors’ more than 100-year legacy in the community through its 13.1MW hydroelectric project, Fort Frances Generating Station, which was built in 1909 and is located on the Rainy River. 

About FirstLight

FirstLight is a leading clean power producer, developer, and energy storage company serving North America. With a diversified portfolio that includes over 1.6 GW of operating renewable energy and energy storage technologies and a development pipeline with 4+ GW of solar, battery, hydro, and onshore and offshore wind projects, FirstLight specializes in hybrid solutions that pair hydroelectric, pumped-hydro storage, utility-scale solar, large-scale battery, and wind assets. The company’s mission is to accelerate the decarbonization of the electric grid by supporting the development, operation, and integration of renewable energy and storage to meet the world’s growing clean energy needs and deliver an electric system that is clean, reliable, affordable, and equitable. Based in Burlington, MA, with operating offices in Northfield, MA, New Milford, CT, Adrian, PA, Oshawa, ON, and Montréal, QC, FirstLight is a steward of more than 14,000 acres and hundreds of miles of shoreline along some of the most beautiful rivers and lakes in North America. FirstLight has been wholly owned by PSP Investments since 2016. To learn more, visit www.firstlight.energy or follow us on LinkedIn or X.

PSP Investments has decided to exit from FirstLight's US clean energy assets while retaining the Canadian ones.

Financial details of the transaction were not disclosed but these are high-quality US assets that will enable Hull Street Energy to become one of the major hydropower investors in the US with a fleet of about 1,200 MW of flexible pumped storage hydro capacity and nearly 400 MW of hydroelectric capacity. 

PSP will retain FirstLight's Canadian operations -- H2O Power and Hydromega -- a platform that includes the 57.2-MW Fort Frances solar project in Ontario (see the PPA agreement above).

Why sell the US operations but retain the Canadian ones? Is this about Trump and renewables being out of favour?

No, from my reading of it, the new global head of Infrastructure at PSP, Andrew Alley, wanted to realize on those US assets to invest elsewhere (more of a portfolio management decision and nothing to do with politics).

This deal represents a win for all parties involved because everyone got what they wanted.  

PSP will exit and invest elsewhere, Hull Street Energy becomes a dominant power player in US renewable energy and FirstLight will continue expanding its operations in the US and Canada under two distinct owners. 

Not much more I can add here but it's clear to me Andrew Alley has his vision for the portfolio and wants to execute on it.

By the way, the photo at the top of this post was taken when FirstLight was honored as the Alliance for Climate Transition’s Clean Energy Company of the Year at the Green Future Gala. 

Below, FirstLight is a leading clean power producer, developer and energy storage company that also serves as a steward of more than 14,000 acres of land and hundreds of miles of shoreline. 

In this company overview, hear from our leaders and learn more about our mission to accelerate the decarbonization of the electric grid by supporting the development, operation, and integration of renewable energy and storage to meet the world’s growing clean energy needs and deliver an electric system that is clean, reliable, affordable, and equitable (2024).

Also, Firstlight is advancing the energy transition and working towards the goal of reaching net zero emissions targets. In this video, learn more about how we do this by owning, operating, and developing hydroelectric, pumped-hydro storage, utility-scale solar, large-scale battery, and offshore wind assets(2024).

Lastly, Bloomberg QuickTake explores FirstLight's Northfield Mountain Pumped Hydro Energy Storage facility in supporting the transition to a clean energy economy (2022).

Key takeaways

• The depressed overall hires rate is a key driver of new labor market weakness for young college graduates, as it makes it harder for them to break into the labor market. This is true across industries, not just in those that disproportionately employ young college graduates—suggesting the culprit is not a structural change in the economy like AI but a labor market in which employers are hiring less and workers are holding onto the jobs they have.
• The information sector—posited to be more AI-exposed—has experienced recent job losses but employs only 2.3% of young college graduates.
• High-tech industries, which employ about 1 in 10 college workers, expanded at a historically rapid pace in the early 2020s but have shown signs of softening over the last three years.

The early 2020s labor market for young college graduates was strong. But, as we showed in this series’ first blog post, the Class of 2026 is graduating college into a labor market that has notably weakened in the past two years. A growing share of young college graduates are looking for jobs, but their employment rates have not kept pace—meaning unemployment is rising faster for young graduates than for the overall workforce. While their outcomes remain better than those of their noncollege counterparts, the uptick in unemployment has been a rising concern.

In this blog post, we delve deeper into the industries where young college graduates are likely to work,1 examining whether it has been relatively more difficult to secure employment in these fields as the labor market has weakened. Our analysis first examines employment changes, then turns to labor market flows, including hires and separations rates. We also scour the data for signs of contraction in the tech sector that may disproportionately affect the prospects for young college graduates as they enter the labor market.

In the third blog post in the series, we will examine the occupations where young college graduates work with particular attention to occupations that may have grown or shrunk, as well as to those most exposed to AI.

Young college graduates work in industries with strong growth in this business cycle

Over half of young college graduates work in private education and health services, professional and business services, or public-sector jobs. Figure A displays the share of employment in each industrial sector or sector grouping for young college graduates ages 22 to 27, all college graduates, and young workers without a four-year college degree. Industries in the figure appear in order of the share of young college graduates they employ, from largest to smallest.

The types of jobs where young college graduates work look similar to those of college graduates generally. Young workers without a college degree (i.e., noncollege) are far more likely to work in trade, transportation, and utilities; mining, construction, and manufacturing; or leisure and hospitality. All groups of workers are least likely to work in the information sector, closely watched for signs of AI-induced displacement.

Figure A

Figure B shows the change in employment in each sector between 2019 and 2026 and between 2023 and 2026, arranged in the same order as Figure A for comparison. The two fastest growing sectors since the last business cycle peak occurred in the two largest sectors for young college graduates: private education and health services and professional and business services.

Since the rollout of ChatGPT, many have looked at industries and occupations likely to be exposed to AI to see whether this has led to weaker job growth. Among the most closely watched of these industries is the information sector, which has seen an 8.5% employment decline since 2023.2 While these losses are notable—and especially relevant to understanding AI’s fingerprints on the labor market for young college-educated workers—it cannot be overemphasized just how small this sector is in the overall economy. Less than 2% of overall employment is in the information sector, including only 2.3% of young college graduates. Further, the sector saw a rapid employment expansion between 2019 and 2023—the employment loss between 2019 and today is just 2.0%.

Figure B High-tech sectors have relatively more college graduates but haven’t experienced large AI-induced employment losses

In recent years, the Census Bureau has created an experimental data series on high-tech industries to better understand business dynamics. These include both manufacturing and service sector components of high tech.3 We translate their NAICS classification for high-tech industries into Census Industry Classifications used by the Current Population Survey (CPS) to determine the likelihood of young college graduates working in these sectors.

In the 2026 economy, about 5.6% of workers were employed in what the Census considers high-tech industries. Just about 1 in 10 (9.9%) of the college-educated workforce works in the tech industry. Young college graduates are similarly represented: 10.3% work in tech.

Overall, the Current Establishment Survey tells us that tech industry employment tracked changes in overall private employment in the prior business cycle (between 2007 and 2019) but expanded sharply in the early 2020s and has softened a bit in the last three years. Since 2023, the tech sector has fallen by 0.7%. While overall employment using CPS does show modest growth, neither shows large swings that suggest a large impact for young college graduates.4

Weak hires may be the biggest culprit to labor market weakness for young college graduates

The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) can shed light on the question of whether entry-level workers—with or without college degrees—are facing a harder labor market to break into. While JOLTS doesn’t include demographic characteristics, it presents jobs openings as well as rates of hiring, layoffs, quits, and other separations. Today’s economy has substantially less churn than during the recovery from the pandemic, when millions of workers reentered the labor market after mass layoffs—many quit soon after as they searched for, and generally found, better opportunities.

Figure C shows the hires and separation rates. The lighter colors represent the monthly seasonally adjusted data for each series while the darker colors represent a 12-month moving average that provides a better overall picture of recent trends, smoothing out some data volatility. Over the last five years, the hires rate has steadily fallen and now sits at levels last seen in 2013 and 2014, when the labor market was still struggling to recover from the Great Recession.

The total separations rate includes quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations.5 As with the hires rate, the separations rate has been declining over the last few years and now sits about where it was in 2014. Much of this is due to reductions in quits. Quits are higher when workers feel confident that they will find better job opportunities. Right now, workers are sitting tight, more so than any point in the past 10 years. Taken together, there is simply less churn in the labor market. But reduced churn is not inherently bad. If the frantic labor market of the early 2020s led to many workers and employers finding satisfactory matches, it could make sense that the following years would see less churn than normal. But for young workers looking to enter the job market, a reduction in hiring can make it harder to find a job.

Figure C

Table 1 breaks down the change in the hires and separations rate over the last three years, again using 12-month moving averages to smooth some volatility in the data. The industries are listed in order of the share of young college graduates they employ, similarly to Figure A. Overall, the hires rate fell 0.8 percentage points and the separations rate fell 0.6 percentage points between 2023 and 2026. The industries where young college graduates are more likely to work saw smaller reductions in both hires and quits than the overall. Industries where young workers without a college degree are more often found—over a quarter are in trade, transportation, and utilities—saw greater losses. Finally, leisure and hospitality, where young noncollege are more than twice as likely to work as young college graduates, saw the largest declines in hiring.

 
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It does not appear that the industries where young college graduates tend to work are experiencing more weakness than other industries. Job gains are just as strong, if not stronger, and hiring hasn’t fallen as far in other industries. In short, there does not seem to be any profound structural change in the economy affecting the industry composition of employment—AI or anything else—that would easily explain the softening of the labor market for young college graduates in recent years. What it does appear to be is a harder labor market for young workers to break into when employers are less likely to hire and workers are more likely to sit tight in the job they have.

1. Throughout this blog post, we define young college graduates as people between the ages of 22 and 27 with only a four-year college degree. Unlike similar analyses of young workers, we do not exclude young college graduates that are currently enrolled in school, but the results here are robust either way. Unless otherwise noted, data for 2026 represent a 12-month average from April 2025 through March 2026 for the most up to date and reliable estimates, which removes seasonality and increases sample sizes.

2. ChatGPT was first introduced in November 2022 but took several months for more widespread usage.

3. High tech industries: Computer and Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing, Communications Equipment Manufacturing, Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing, Navigational, Measuring, Electromedical, and Control Instruments Manufacturing, Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing, Software Publishers, Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services, Other Information Services, Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services, Computer Systems Design and Related Services, and Scientific Research and Development Services.

4.  It’s not unusual for the CPS and CES to display small differences in employment levels or trends considering nontrivial differences in their methodologies. 

5. Other separations include separations due to retirement, death, disability, and transfers to other locations of the same firm.

Freschia Gonzales of Wealth Professional reports Quebec pension giant bets big on Brazil's power grid:

Two of Latin America's largest energy infrastructure investors are consolidating their Brazilian transmission assets into a single platform, betting on the country's grid modernization push. 

La Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec and Colombia-based Grupo Energía Bogotá (GEB) have signed a final agreement to merge their respective Brazilian power transmission holdings into a jointly controlled, 50/50 venture under the name Verene Energia S.A. 

The combined entity will hold 26 electric transmission concession agreements, more than 9,000 km of transmission lines, and over 400 employees across 17 Brazilian states.  

A scale the partners say places Verene among Brazil's top five transmission operators. 

Verene will pursue growth through network optimization, infrastructure expansion, and potential acquisitions, aligned with Brazil's broader decarbonization objectives. 

Emmanuel Jaclot, executive vice-president and head of infrastructure and sustainability at La Caisse, said GEB brings "more than 130 years of operating heritage" to the venture. 

Jaclot said the partners plan to grow Verene's footprint in Brazil through acquisitions and continued support for the country's energy transition. 

GEB president Juan Ricardo Ortega said the deal marks "a significant milestone" in the company's long-term Brazil strategy, citing the combination of GEB's regional expertise with La Caisse's financial reach. 

Financial close is expected by Q4 2026, pending regulatory approvals.  

On Friday, La Caisse issued a press release stating it and Grupo Energía Bogotá will establish Brazil’s 5th largest power transmission platform:

• The partners will co-control the joint venture on a 50/50 basis under the Verene name

Global investment group La Caisse, and Grupo Energía Bogotá (“GEB”), a leading Latin American energy infrastructure group, today announced that they have entered into a final agreement to create a jointly controlled, 50/50 power transmission platform in Brazil, bringing together their respective transmission assets in the country under a single joint venture which will retain the name Verene Energia S.A. (“Verene”).

The combined platform will comprise 26 electric transmission concession agreements, more than 9,000 km of transmission lines, and over 400 employees, with operations spanning 17 Brazilian states. With this scale, Verene will rank among the top five power transmission players in Brazil.

Verene will continue to operate as the reference platform for the combined portfolio and will be positioned to pursue disciplined growth opportunities in Brazil’s transmission market, including the optimization and expansion of existing networks and potential acquisitions, in line with Brazil’s broader grid modernization and decarbonization objectives.

Juan Ricardo Ortega, President at GEB, said:
“Our partnership with La Caisse marks a significant milestone in our long-term strategy for Brazil. By combining our operational expertise and regional market knowledge with the financial strength and global perspective of our partner, we are creating a platform positioned to accelerate growth, expand transmission energy infrastructure, and support Brazil’s energy transition. We believe this alliance will generate sustainable value for our stakeholders and contribute to Brazil’s economic and energy development.”

Emmanuel Jaclot, Executive Vice-President and Head of Infrastructure and Sustainability at La Caisse, said:
“By bringing together highly complementary assets under one banner, the partnership establishes Verene as a scaled, business-driven platform with strong financial backing. GEB brings more than 130 years of operating heritage and ranks among Latin America's leading energy infrastructure groups, with deep expertise across the region's transmission sector. Together, we share a vision to strengthen Verene's footprint in Brazil through value-creating acquisitions and continued support for the country's energy transition.” 

Financial close is expected by Q4 2026, subject to customary closing conditions and relevant consents and approval.

La Caisse was advised by BTG Pactual as financial advisor and Pinheiro Neto Advogados as legal advisor. GEB was advised by Citibank as financial advisor and Mayer Brown as legal advisor.

ABOUT GRUPO ENERGÍA BOGOTÁ

For more than 130 years, Grupo Energía Bogotá has contributed to the development of Latin America’s energy sector through the operation, development and investment in electricity and natural gas infrastructure. Headquartered in Bogotá, the company operates across Colombia, Peru, Brazil and Guatemala, with a diversified portfolio of electricity generation, transmission and distribution and gas transportation and distribution investments.

As a leading Latin American energy group, Grupo Energía Bogotá combines strong corporate governance, operational excellence and a long-term sustainability strategy to improve lives through competitive and reliable energy services. The company is listed on the Colombian Stock Exchange and continues to play a key role in the region’s energy transition and infrastructure growth. Learn more at Grupo Energía Bogotá and LinkedIn.

ABOUT LA CAISSE

For more than 60 years, La Caisse has invested with a dual mandate: generate optimal long-term returns for its 48 depositors, who represent over six million Quebecers, while contributing to Québec’s economic development.

As a global investment group, La Caisse is active in major financial markets, private equity, infrastructure, real estate and private credit. As at December 31, 2025, its net assets totalled CAD 517 billion. Learn more atLaCaisse.com, LinkedIn or Instagram. 

This is another great infrastructure deal where La Caisse is partnering up with Grupo Energía Bogotá (GEB) to invest in Brazil's power transmission lines. 

The new platform, a jointly controlled, 50/50 venture under the name Verene Energia S.A., will hold 26 electric transmission concession agreements, more than 9,000 km of transmission lines, and over 400 employees across 17 Brazilian states.  

The theme remains the same as other countries. Brazil is growing fast and wants to decarbonize its economy. That means more electric vehicles and higher demand for electricity. Add to this the needs of the AI economy, which means more data centres, and electricity demand will take off in a huge way there.

Are there risks investing in Brazil? Any time you invest in Latin American infrastructure or real estate, you're taking political and currency risk but La Caisse and other large Canadian pension funds know the country very well, and the top bank there (BTG Pactual) advised them on the deal, so I'm very confident the terms of the deal reflect all potential risks.

Again, Juan Ricardo Ortega, President at GEB, summed it up well in the press release when he states this:

“Our partnership with La Caisse marks a significant milestone in our long-term strategy for Brazil. By combining our operational expertise and regional market knowledge with the financial strength and global perspective of our partner, we are creating a platform positioned to accelerate growth, expand transmission energy infrastructure, and support Brazil’s energy transition."

In other related news, earlier today, a press release was issued where BIG Fiber secured $250 million in financing led by Stonepeak Credit and La Caisse to accelerate digital infrastructure expansion:

• Investment Fuels Expansion, Boosting Total Assets to over 800 Route Miles

BIG Fiber, a leading provider of high-capacity dark fiber infrastructure, announced the closing of a $250 million debt facility with an additional $100 million accordion feature. The financing, led by Stonepeak Credit and La Caisse (formerly CDPQ), provides BIG Fiber with significant capital to accelerate the expansion of its core markets and reinforce its position as the premier provider of mission-critical digital infrastructure in the U.S.

The new credit facility follows BIG Fiber’s 2024 milestone, the first-ever green loan in the dark fiber sector, and marks a significant scaling of the company’s financial capacity. Backed by sponsors Columbia Capital and SDC Capital Partners, the expansion of BIG Fiber’s debt facility and the infusion of new capital ensure the company remains well-positioned to meet the escalating infrastructure demands of the AI era.

Proceeds of the facility will be used to refinance existing debt, provide new capital and facilitate the necessary headroom for major network expansions already underway. This includes a significant multi-market buildout in Greater Atlanta, adding over 205 route miles and 165,000 fiber miles to BIG Fiber’s existing market-leading footprint.

“Our partnership with Stonepeak Credit and La Caisse marks a pivotal moment in our mission to empower our customers with highly-scalable and purpose-built dark fiber solutions," said Bruce Garrison, CEO of BIG Fiber. "This financing ensures we have the scale to stay ahead of the escalating demand for modernized infrastructure enabling the AI ecosystem and the necessary digital highways for decades to come.” 

"BIG Fiber’s infrastructure delivers critical bandwidth to meet the insatiable demand for both data and compute capacity across its key markets," said Arun Varanasi, Managing Director at Stonepeak Credit. "We are proud to partner with Columbia Capital, SDC Capital Partners, and La Caisse to support the Company's next leg of growth as it positions itself as one of the preeminent dark fiber operators in the country." 

“BIG Fiber is well positioned to meet the growing connectivity needs of enterprises and data centers seeking new, high quality infrastructure options,” said Jérôme Marquis, Managing Director and Head of Private Credit at La Caisse. “Its resilient business model, underpinned by long term contracts and strong structural demand, positions the company well for growth. Together with Stonepeak Credit, we’re providing a tailored financing solution that supports the continued build out of essential digital infrastructure.”

The latest expansion will bring BIG Fiber’s Atlanta and San Francisco Bay Area network capacity to 850 route miles and over 3 million fiber miles. Projects are currently under construction or contract, with phased Ready for Service (RFS) dates expected in early 2027.

About BIG Fiber

BIG Fiber is a metro dark fiber provider that offers high capacity, strategically placed, dark fiber networks to mission critical data centers, Hyperscalers and enterprises throughout the San Francisco Bay Area, Greater Portland and Greater Atlanta areas. BIG Fiber’s 100% underground network meets critical data needs for enterprises and data centers that require new, quality infrastructure options. BIG Fiber’s San Francisco Bay Area network offers more than 320 route miles and 65 data centers. The Greater Portland network has more than 20 route miles and 15 data centers, and the Greater Atlanta network has more than 550 route miles and 30 data centers. BIG Fiber was founded in 2019 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California. Visit www.bigfiber.com to learn more.

About Stonepeak Credit

Stonepeak Credit is the credit investing arm of Stonepeak, a leading alternative investment firm specializing in infrastructure and real assets with approximately $88 billion of assets under management. Stonepeak Credit targets credit investments across the transportation and logistics, energy and energy transition, digital infrastructure, and social infrastructure sectors that provide essential services with downside protection, high barriers to entry and visible, recurring revenue generation. It seeks to provide capital solutions that are flexible across the capital structure while generating cash yield through majority senior secured credit investments.

Stonepeak is headquartered in New York with offices in Houston, Washington, D.C., London, Hong Kong, Seoul, Singapore, Sydney, Tokyo, Abu Dhabi, and Riyadh. For more information, please visit www.stonepeak.com. 

This is another example of a private credit deal where La Caisse is partnering up with Stonepeak Credit to provide credit to BOG Fiber to grow its operations to meet the growing demands of bandwidth during the AI build-out phase.

Bruce Garrison, CEO of BIG Fiber summed it up: "This financing ensures we have the scale to stay ahead of the escalating demand for modernized infrastructure enabling the AI ecosystem and the necessary digital highways for decades to come.”  

What else? La Caisse is on record that it wants to double its allocation to private debt in the next 5 years and these are the type of large transactions that will enable it to get to its target.  

Jérôme Marquis, Managing Director and Head of Private Credit at La Caisse and his team are on pace to meet this target.

Below, understanding Brazil's Transmission Model: A Presentation by Luiz Barroso: CEO of PSR Energy Consulting and Analytics and former Director of Brazilian Energy Planning Agency (two years ago). 

In this International Online Conference for the African School of Regulation (ASR), Luiz Barroso explores the Brazilian electricity transmission business model. 

Excellent presentation, take the time to listen to his insights. 

Sean Conlon, Sarah Min and Lisa Kailai Han of CNBC report the Dow loses more than 500 points on Friday as tech slumps and yields spike:

Stocks fell on Friday, bogged down by losses in technology stocks and a rise in U.S. Treasury yields, after a summit between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping ended and left traders worried about no major policy breakthroughs.

The S&P 500 shed 1.24% to end at 7,408.50, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 1.54% to 26,225.14. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 537.29 points, or 1.07%.

Investors took profits in tech after the group saw sharp gains recently. Notably, Intel retreated 6%, while Advanced Micro Devices and Micron Technology lost 5.7% and 6.6%, respectively. Nvidia dropped 4.4%, while Cerebras Systems — which surged 68% Thursday after it began trading on the Nasdaq — shed 10%.

“The group has witnessed an extremely unsustainable move in recent weeks and remains vulnerable to profit taking regardless of the headlines,” wrote Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge.

Microsoft was an exception, however. The stock was 3% higher after Bill Ackman said Friday that Pershing Square has built a position in the name.

Treasury yields jumped, pressuring stocks, with the 30-year rate topping 5.1%. A series of reports this week showed inflation was revving back up as oil prices remain elevated from the Middle East conflict. Higher rates could hit the high growth stocks the hardest.

Oil prices traded higher Friday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures rose 4.2% to settle at $105.42 per barrel, while international Brent futures settled up 3.35% to $109.26. That’s after Trump told Fox News that he is “not going to be much more patient” with Iran, adding that “they should make a deal.”

Investors were disappointed following the conclusion of the summit between Trump and Xi, as no major deals have been announced. The two agreed that the Strait of Hormuz must remain open, according to a U.S. readout that was shared by a White House official. But “the few headlines that did come out of the summit (like the Boeing orders) were underwhelming,” Crisafulli wrote.

Boeing shares extended their losses Friday, moving lower by 3% following a nearly 5% drop in the previous session, as investors were let down by Trump saying that China has agreed to buy 200 Boeing jets — just 50 more than the company had previously anticipated.

Thursday marked a winning session for the indexes. The Dow reclaimed the 50,000 level, and the S&P 500 closed above 7,500 for the first time.

Stocks have been on a record-breaking tear on a renewed fervor around artificial intelligence. While Argent Capital Management’s Jed Ellerbroek believes sentiment among investors “remains very optimistic overall,” a peek under the hood is showing that the broader market is lagging the largest tech companies, a divergence that is increasingly worrying some investors as it suggests a fragile rally.

“It doesn’t feel right to say that tech is just going to lead forever,” the portfolio manager said, noting that the “HALO” trade earlier this year saw tech stocks “shunned” in support of those in sectors such as consumer staples and materials. “One thing kind of popping up and driving the market is inherently more risky than if there were several things.” 

Amalya Dubrovsky , Rian Howlett , Karen Friar and Grace O'Donnell of Yahoo Finance also report 

US stocks sank on Friday, retreating from record highs as rising bond yields and inflation worries preyed on markets and investors were gauging the success of the Trump-Xi summit in China.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) slid 1.5%, dragged lower by a 4% decline in Nvidia (NVDA), which reports earnings next week, and pressure on other chip stocks.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell 1.2% after surging to all-time closing highs on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) lost 1%, or 530 points, and dropped back below 50,000 as stocks came under pressure.

Stocks pulled back as a global bond rout weighed on sentiment to end the week, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) climbing to 4.59%, and the 30-year yield (^TYX) reaching 5.13%.

Investors also assessed the geopolitical backdrop as President Trump concluded his visit with Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in Beijing. The two-day summit struck a business-friendly tone, involving 16 top US executives and delivering new deals for the likes of Boeing (BA) and Nvidia (NVDA).

However, the diplomatic issues of Taiwan and Iran continued to lurk in the background. US officials hoped that China could help end the war with Iran by using its influence with its major oil supplier. Trump said China and the US “feel very similar about Iran,” but Xi struck a more measured tone.

The lack of progress toward peace has stoked concern about the conflict’s price pressures, shown in this week’s US inflation readings. Oil futures rose over 2%, with Brent (BZ=F) trading around $109 a barrel. 

So the Xi-Trump summit happened and traders used it to sell the news.

Long bond rates keep inching higher and all of a sudden Wall Street is paying attention and decided to sell red-hot semis and other tech shares on Friday to buy energy and commodity stocks.

Still, for the week, while Energy outperformed all other sectors, Information Technology did manage to eke out a 1% gain (data source here):

As far as large cap shares, here were this week's top performers:

 And the worst-performing large caps (full list here):

 

So what does inflation pressure mean for the Fed and stocks going forward? 

Well, BCA's Chief EM/ China Strategist Arthur Budagyan posted this on LinkedIn earlier today:

I tend to agree, a 10-year above 4.5% will pose significant challenges for stocks but if earnings keep surprising to the upside, you never know, maybe there's more juice left to power stocks higher. 

Next week, King Kong (Nvidia) reports, so let's see the reaction afterwards. 

Below, CNBC’s “Halftime Report” Investment Committee debate whether it’s safe to buy the tech pullback.

Christopher Neely of The Real Deal reports the German pension fund that lost $1B on a risky US real estate bet doesn’t want to talk about it:

The managers of Germany’s largest public pension fund want to wipe their hands clean of their increasingly contentious exit from San Francisco’s Transamerica Pyramid.  

Earlier this week, Bayerische Versorgungskammer (BVK) — a state-run institution managing the pensions of 2.8 million public employees in Bavaria — rejected accusations raised in a recent lawsuit that it broke investment rules and stiffed one of its partners out of more than $30 million after selling the Transamerica Pyramid in March. 

As part of that lawsuit filed last month, Deutsche Finance America claimed BVK “went to concerted, conspicuous lengths” to skip paying the firm its early termination fee of $31.3 million. The firm claimed that BVK paid its other partner — New York developer and face of the Transamerica Pyramid revival, Michael Shvo — $79 million despite the partners having similar termination fee structures. Shvo’s payday, Deutsche Finance America said, raised “grave questions” about the deal. 

Representatives of BVK called the allegations “unfounded,” and said they “vigorously reject” them, according to a statement released Tuesday to trade publication, Investment & Pensions Europe. 

Partnering with Shvo and Deutsche Finance America, BVK funneled nearly $2 billion into seven U.S. properties, including the Transamerica Pyramid and the Raleigh Hotel in Miami, according to Deutsche Finance’s court filing last week. Although no precise final number has been released, BVK has estimated that losses on those investments could exceed $1 billion. 

Deflecting accountability

BVK, which is supervised by Bavaria’s interior ministry, has continuously tried to evade direct responsibility for the series of failed U.S. real estate bets it made with pensioners’ money. It leans on the fact that it used what’s called a “fund-of-funds” structure to invest in the real estate portfolio, where BVK put money into third-party, Luxembourg-based funds that then made the investments.

In March, BVK’s CEO, Axel Uttenreuther, told a German news outlet that Deutsche Finance and Shvo had identified the properties in advance of BVK’s investment. Deutsche Finance has explicitly denied this claim. 

Last summer, BVK fired its long-time head of real estate investment management Rainer Komenda after more than 20 years at the helm. Months later, Norman Fackelmann, who served just under Komenda, quit the institution, according to Investments & Pensions Europe. An internal investigation by BVK found Komenda had too close a relationship with its business partners, which included stays at luxury hotels and meals at high-end restaurants. Bloomberg reported that a younger relative of Komenda held internships at Deutsche Finance’s London and Denver outlets, as well as Shvo’s firm. 

Komenda sued BVK over his dismissal. In March, a Bavarian court sided with Komenda. According to Investments & Pensions Europe, BVK planned to appeal and had fired Komenda all over again based on “fresh findings from a recent internal investigation.” 

The pension fund sought to further distance itself from the Transamerica Pyramid deal with its comments on Tuesday. BVK told Investment & Pensions Europe that it learned of Deutsche Finance’s latest court filing through a “third party” and characterized the dispute as between Deutsche Finance and an externally managed fund of funds. 

“BVK is neither a party to the petition nor to the arbitration proceedings,” a representative told the London-based trade publication. 

Deutsche Finance America’s lawsuit does not explicitly name BVK as a defendant, but rather two Luxembourg-based investment funds, Elektra 2 and 711 Investments SCS. However, it says BVK acted through the two companies in refusing to pay DFA its fee for early termination of its asset management services on the Transamerica Pyramid.

Losing streak 

In March, BVK sold its piece of the San Francisco skyline and the two adjacent properties for $692 million to Cyprus-based investment firm Yoda PLC. The sale marked a more than $200 million loss on the investment, part of the larger, billion-dollar losing streak for BVK’s U.S. portfolio. 

At the time of the sale, Yoda PLC reported that, amid the losses for German investors, Shvo would receive a separate $34 million exit package that covered his broker’s pay for representing both sides in the transaction, an early termination fee and the cost of buying out his right of first offer agreement on the property. 

Yet, as the estimates of losses grew for German investors, Shvo’s riches seemed to increase. Deutsche Finance America’s court filing last week claimed Shvo actually made $79 million on the deal thanks to an additional $45 million he earned in December after BVK allegedly terminated his contract as asset manager. That timeline contradicts Shvo’s claim that he remained asset manager until the property’s sale in March.

Spokespeople for Shvo have denied he was terminated as asset manager in December and said he stayed on in the role until the building’s sale in March. On several occasions, the spokespeople declined to comment on whether Shvo was paid an additional $45 million in fees.

Deutsche Finance is arguing that it had a fee-protection agreement identical to Shvo’s but received nothing after the property was sold.

The dispute between Deutsche Finance and BVK’s funds remains in arbitration. Meanwhile, lawyers in Bavaria whose pensions are managed by BVK have been gearing up for months for a possible class action-style lawsuit against the state-run pension fund and the state of Bavaria. 

Editors Note: A previous version of this story misattributed a claim to Shvo’s spokespeople. The spokespeople declined to comment on whether BVK paid Shvo an additional $45 million in fees. They did not deny it, as previously reported. 

This isn't a new story. Back in February, Julian West of AInvest wrote BVK's US real estate bet was a symptom of Germany's housing crisis, noting this:

The financial impact of Bayerische Versorgungskammer's US real estate missteps is contained, but the fallout is about trust. The group faces a potential additional loss risk of up to €690m from a small number of higher-risk development and refurbishment projects. This represents roughly 0.6 per cent of BVK's total €117bn portfolio, a level the group deems manageable. Crucially, BVK maintains that pension commitments to members are not affected, arguing that any losses are offset by gains in other asset classes. In 2024, the group delivered a capital-weighted net return of around 3.4%, meeting its central investment target.

Yet this is not merely a story of a small bet gone wrong. The core question is whether this is a manageable financial event or a symptom of deeper institutional failure. The scale of the potential loss is dwarfed by the group's total assets, but the governance and transparency failures are not. Members of BVK, which manages funds for 2.7 million people, are preparing legal action to obtain information and potentially compensation. German law firms have set up an interest group, claiming BVK has refused to provide information despite repeated requests, necessitating a lawsuit to force disclosure.

The thesis here is clear. The financial impact is contained within BVK's diversified strategy. The real damage is to fiduciary trust. The group's own measures-appointing an external manager, tightening partner standards, and strengthening compliance-admit to a breakdown in oversight. When a pension fund managing hundreds of billions cannot provide basic information to its members, even under confidentiality agreements, it raises fundamental questions about accountability. The bottom line is that while the numbers may not threaten pensions, the opacity and the need for legal compulsion to reveal them do threaten the very foundation of the system.

The Governance and Transparency Crisis

The core failure here is not financial, but fiduciary. While BVK's total portfolio is large enough to absorb the potential losses, its refusal to communicate with its members represents a fundamental breach of trust. The breakdown is now formalized through legal action. German law firms Mattil and Greger & Collegen have set up an interest group to seek disclosure, stating they have asked BVK "several times" for information but received no response. This has forced them to conclude that a lawsuit is necessary to compel transparency, with the case ready to be filed in Munich. 

This legal push starkly contrasts with BVK's public messaging. The group's CEO has repeatedly emphasized that transparent, trust-based dialogue remains a core element of its governance approach. Yet the fund's actions in withholding information from members-its ultimate beneficiaries-undermine that very claim. The excuse offered, citing pending legal proceedings in the US and existing confidentiality obligations, does not hold up under scrutiny. The law firms represent members of the very pension funds BVK manages, and the information sought is about the fund's own investments and performance. The conflict is clear: a fiduciary refusing to communicate with its members.

The planned legal action in Munich seeks both disclosure and potential compensation for member losses. This is the ultimate consequence of a governance model that prioritizes legalistic defensiveness over open communication. When a pension fund managing hundreds of billions cannot provide basic information to its members, even through a legal representative, it reveals a system in crisis. The bottom line is that while the financial impact may be contained, the institutional failure-the refusal to engage-is what truly threatens the integrity of the pension system.

What a complete mess. I read this story and others related to it earlier today and I'm bringing it up on my blog for one simple reason: if you don't have the right governance, your pension fund is a swamp.

And proper communication figures into the right governance. In fact, it's governance 101.

Those lawyers in Bavaria whose pensions are managed by BVK need to go after BVK hard and make sure they get accountability and implement changes to the governance there to make sure this never happens again.

Let me be honest, this story reminds me of the Wild West days of real estate, where corruption and bribes were rampant. 

Rainer Komenda is taking the fall for this mess, but the truth is BVK’s CEO, Axel Uttenreuther, should have also been dismissed from the organization.

In total, over $1 billion was lost on shady real estate deals. Blaming the fund of funds you hired is farcical; you still have the responsibility to oversee its investments.

I personally hate funds of funds because they add an extra layer of fees but I understand that sometimes you need expertise if you don't have it in-house.

BVK would have been better off approaching an Oxford Properties or QuadReal here in Canada than investing in some second-tier fund of funds.

It also sounds to me like Deutsche Finance America has a legitimate lawsuit and should get the same terms Michael Shvo received (Shvo and BVK’s CEO Axel Uttenreuther are feautured at the top of this post).

Anyway, what a mess. This is Germany’s largest public pension fund and this isn't a story you want associated with your organization.

No wonder members are furious and looking into class-action lawsuits (they will not recover losses but can demand changes to the governance structure).

Again, my advice is to get certified fraud examiners, audit the real estate department thoroughly and figure out who was accountable and what changes can be made in the governance structure to make sure this never happens again.

I would also take a closer look at Michael Shvo's role in all these real estate dealings.

Below, an older (December, 2024) clip where developer Michael Shvo discusses his $1B San Francisco investment in Transamerica Pyramid (see backstory here) and why he believes the redesigned iconic building is the Rolls Royce of office.