EconomPic has a great graph from The Future's So Bright on Consumer Confidence index from July to August:

^{Src: EconomPic, click graph to enlarge}

Now read the headlines reporting on the consumer confidence index, with phrases like soars, surges, jumped...

Does the above graph look like a blow out to you?

Here is the Conference Board report:

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had retreated in July, rebounded in August. The Index now stands at 54.1 (1985=100), up from 47.4 in July. The Present Situation Index increased slightly to 24.9 from 23.3 last month. The Expectations Index improved to 73.5 from 63.4 in July.

Consumers' assessment of current conditions improved slightly in August. Those claiming business conditions are "bad" decreased to 45.6 percent from 46.5 percent, however, those claiming conditions are "good" decreased to 8.6 percent from 8.9 percent. Consumers' appraisal of the job market was more favorable this month. Those saying jobs are "hard to get" decreased to 45.1 percent from 48.5 percent, while those claiming jobs are "plentiful" increased to 4.2 percent from 3.7 percent.