At their meeting in Vienna on Wednesday, the member nations of OPEC agreed to cut their oil production by 4.5% for a period to run 6 months, effective January 1st. The amount of oil output each member is expected to forgo is generally based on their October production, although for some countries, such as Iran, the baseline for the output cut has been adjusted for special factors. Libya and Nigeria, whose recent production has been disrupted by civil conflict, will be exempt from the cuts.
Wednesday's release of US oil data for the week ending July 15th by the US Energy Information Administration indicated that our oil imports rebounded back to above recent averages, that our refineries ramped back up to seasonal levels to use all of those extra imports, and as a result another small portion of our monstrous glut of crude oil was converted into a glut of refined products.
Oil prices crashed along with global financial markets on Friday following the British vote on Thursday to exit the European Union (typically referred to as "Brexit"), which is widely expected to precipitate a period of political instability in Europe.
Oil prices, and prices for everything that is refined from oil, continued to head up last week, something you don’t need me to tell you if you've bought gasoline lately. There has been no fundamental change in the global oversupply situation that would account for higher prices, however, but rather a change in the betting positions of oil speculators.
The key series of news stories from the past week that will have the greatest long term impact on the global oil markets came out of Saudi Arabia, and none of those stories was even about their oil production.
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